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Coldwater weather

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Coldwater weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Coldwater weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Coldwater swings 61°F across the year, from 80°F highs in July to 19°F lows in February, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 39 in of precipitation.

Warmest month
July
80°F average high
Coldest month
February
19°F average low
Wettest month
May
39 in a year
Below freezing
4 months
January, February, March and December
Comfortable
2 months
June and September
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Coldwater and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Coldwater hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Coldwater 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Coldwater, Michigan (MI) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 80°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 19°F), with roughly 39 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Coldwater right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Coldwater climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
30°
20°
Feb
36°
19°
Mar
44°
27°
Apr
56°
37°
May
69°
49°
Jun
78°
58°
Jul
80°
62°
Aug
79°
62°
Sep
72°
55°
Oct
59°
43°
Nov
46°
33°
Dec
35°
25°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Coldwater's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.5°F

Around Coldwater, 2015-2024 averaged 1.5°F warmer than 1995-2004. 5 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2012.

1995: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average1996: −2.7°F vs the 30-year average1997: −2.7°F vs the 30-year average1998: +2.0°F vs the 30-year average1999: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2000: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2002: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2003: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2004: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2005: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2006: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2007: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2008: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average2009: −1.8°F vs the 30-year average2010: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2011: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2012: +3.2°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2014: −3.1°F vs the 30-year average2015: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2016: +1.8°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2018: −0.4°F vs the 30-year average2019: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2020: +0.7°F vs the 30-year average2021: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2022: −0.2°F vs the 30-year average2023: +1.8°F vs the 30-year average2024: +3.2°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

6 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +0 vs the 30-year average1996: −18 vs the 30-year average1997: −16 vs the 30-year average1998: −8 vs the 30-year average1999: +9 vs the 30-year average2000: −13 vs the 30-year average2001: +5 vs the 30-year average2002: +14 vs the 30-year average2003: −3 vs the 30-year average2004: −18 vs the 30-year average2005: +40 vs the 30-year average2006: +0 vs the 30-year average2007: +3 vs the 30-year average2008: −7 vs the 30-year average2009: −15 vs the 30-year average2010: +0 vs the 30-year average2011: −1 vs the 30-year average2012: +39 vs the 30-year average2013: −7 vs the 30-year average2014: −13 vs the 30-year average2015: −17 vs the 30-year average2016: +16 vs the 30-year average2017: −5 vs the 30-year average2018: +2 vs the 30-year average2019: −17 vs the 30-year average2020: −2 vs the 30-year average2021: +9 vs the 30-year average2022: −2 vs the 30-year average2023: +10 vs the 30-year average2024: +11 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

6 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +9 vs the 30-year average1996: +25 vs the 30-year average1997: +19 vs the 30-year average1998: −13 vs the 30-year average1999: −0 vs the 30-year average2000: −9 vs the 30-year average2001: −8 vs the 30-year average2002: +17 vs the 30-year average2003: −6 vs the 30-year average2004: −6 vs the 30-year average2005: +3 vs the 30-year average2006: −11 vs the 30-year average2007: −5 vs the 30-year average2008: +10 vs the 30-year average2009: −0 vs the 30-year average2010: −7 vs the 30-year average2011: −1 vs the 30-year average2012: −12 vs the 30-year average2013: +14 vs the 30-year average2014: +15 vs the 30-year average2015: −13 vs the 30-year average2016: −10 vs the 30-year average2017: −13 vs the 30-year average2018: +21 vs the 30-year average2019: +7 vs the 30-year average2020: +9 vs the 30-year average2021: +2 vs the 30-year average2022: +2 vs the 30-year average2023: −6 vs the 30-year average2024: −28 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−4%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +1% vs the 30-year average1996: +3% vs the 30-year average1997: +3% vs the 30-year average1998: −3% vs the 30-year average1999: +5% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: +1% vs the 30-year average2002: +3% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: +5% vs the 30-year average2005: −1% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: +3% vs the 30-year average2009: −1% vs the 30-year average2010: −3% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: −1% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: +3% vs the 30-year average2015: +1% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: +1% vs the 30-year average2018: −3% vs the 30-year average2019: +1% vs the 30-year average2020: −1% vs the 30-year average2021: −6% vs the 30-year average2022: +3% vs the 30-year average2023: −8% vs the 30-year average2024: −3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.6°F+0+9+1%
1996−2.7°F−18+25+3%
1997−2.7°F−16+19+3%
1998+2.0°F−8−13−3%
1999+0.3°F+9−0+5%
2000−0.9°F−13−9+1%
2001+0.5°F+5−8+1%
2002+0.2°F+14+17+3%
2003−1.3°F−3−6+1%
2004−0.4°F−18−6+5%
2005+1.1°F+40+3−1%
2006+1.4°F+0−11−1%
2007+0.2°F+3−5+1%
2008−1.6°F−7+10+3%
2009−1.8°F−15−0−1%
2010+0.9°F+0−7−3%
2011−0.2°F−1−1+1%
2012+3.2°F+39−12−1%
2013−1.3°F−7+14+1%
2014−3.1°F−13+15+3%
2015−0.4°F−17−13+1%
2016+1.8°F+16−10−1%
2017+1.1°F−5−13+1%
2018−0.4°F+2+21−3%
2019−0.7°F−17+7+1%
2020+0.7°F−2+9−1%
2021+1.4°F+9+2−6%
2022−0.2°F−2+2+3%
2023+1.8°F+10−6−8%
2024+3.2°F+11−28−3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Coldwater, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±1.1 mph9396% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F94±2.0 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Coldwater today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Coldwater today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Coldwater today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Coldwater and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Coldwater?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Coldwater forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Coldwater?
July is typically the warmest month in Coldwater, with average highs around 80°F.
How cold does Coldwater get?
The coldest month in Coldwater is February, when overnight lows average about 19°F.
How much rain does Coldwater get?
Coldwater sees roughly 39 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.
Is Coldwater getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Coldwater, 2015-2024 averaged 1.5°F warmer than 1995-2004.

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More US weather

Which forecast is most accurate in United States?US rain radarNWS vs American vs European: models comparedHow we measure forecast accuracyHow accurate is a 7-day forecast?Michigan weather todayAll US citiesHoliday weather abroadEmbed Coldwater on your siteThe national forecast models, explained: NBM, UKMO, GEM and ACCESS