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CheckWeather USChico
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Chico weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 80° in Chico today. Tomorrow looks clear around 82°, with a 4% chance of rain.

80°55°
82°60°
89°57°
94°62°
99°68°
103°72°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaysplit ±12°Thursdaysplit ±14°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Mostly clear
Today 81°·Low 56°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
80°
Cloudy
Today 80°·Low 54°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Mostly clear
Today 79°·Low 54°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Chico and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
80° 55°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
82° 60°
models agree
Mon
Clear
89° 57°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
94° 62°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
99° 68°
±12°
Thu
Mostly clear
103° 72°
±14°
Fri
Mostly clear
97° 72°
±14°
Sat
Mostly clear
91° 66°
±12°
Sun
Cloudy
90° 64°
±16°
Mon
Clear
89° 62°
±16°
Tue
Clear
90° 63°
±17°
Wed
Clear
97° 65°
±13°
Thu
Clear
98° 66°
±10°
Fri
Clear
96° 65°
models agree

Chico, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 103°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 39°F), with roughly 44 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Chico right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Chico climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
55°
40°
Feb
56°
39°
Mar
58°
42°
Apr
70°
47°
May
82°
55°
Jun
93°
64°
Jul
103°
71°
Aug
97°
68°
Sep
90°
62°
Oct
80°
55°
Nov
62°
43°
Dec
57°
42°

Which forecast is most accurate in Chico?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F97±0.9 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
96
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F97±0.9 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°79° to 81°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±3°81° to 84°±4%0% to 4% chance
Mon±7°85° to 92°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±10°89° to 99°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±12°93° to 106°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Chico

today, local time
Sunrise
06:39
Sunset
19:32
Daylight
12h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Chico today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Chico today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Chico today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Chico and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Chico?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Chico (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 96. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Chico?
July is typically the warmest month in Chico, with average highs around 103°F.
How cold does Chico get?
The coldest month in Chico is February, when overnight lows average about 39°F.
How much rain does Chico get?
Chico sees roughly 44 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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