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CheckWeather USCarson
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Carson weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Carson's high today between 80° and 86°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks heavy drizzle around 79°, with a 90% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

83°66°
79°70°
86°69°
86°72°
90°74°
87°74°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±10°Mondaysplit ±12°Tuesdaysplit ±10°Wednesdaysplit ±11°Thursdaysplit ±10°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
83°
Mostly clear
Today 83°·Low 65°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
86°
Fog
Today 86°·Low 65°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
80°
Mostly clear
Today 80°·Low 67°·Rain 29%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Carson and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
83° 66°
±6°
Tomorrow
Heavy drizzle
79° 70°
±10°
Mon
Mostly clear
86° 69°
±12°
Tue
Cloudy
86° 72°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
90° 74°
±11°
Thu
Mostly clear
87° 74°
±10°
Fri
Clear
81° 72°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
79° 70°
±5°
Sun
Mostly clear
79° 69°
models agree
Mon
Clear
79° 69°
±9°
Tue
Light drizzle
82° 70°
±13°
Wed
Cloudy
83° 73°
±11°
Thu
Partly cloudy
80° 71°
models agree
Fri
Clear
80° 71°
models agree

Carson, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 84°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 44°F), with roughly 23 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Carson right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Carson climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
62°
44°
Feb
63°
44°
Mar
63°
47°
Apr
69°
50°
May
70°
55°
Jun
76°
59°
Jul
84°
63°
Aug
84°
63°
Sep
81°
62°
Oct
81°
57°
Nov
73°
49°
Dec
68°
48°

Which forecast is most accurate in Carson?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
70±3.0°F84±5.1 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
60
/100rank #2
6±9.4°F90±3.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°80° to 86°±28%1% to 29% chance
Tomorrow±10°75° to 85°±53%37% to 90% chance
Mon±12°81° to 93°±21%2% to 23% chance
Tue±10°82° to 92°±1%7% to 8% chance
Wed±11°86° to 97°±3%7% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Carson

today, local time
Sunrise
06:29
Sunset
19:13
Daylight
12h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in Carson today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Carson today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Carson today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Carson and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Carson?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Carson (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the European at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Carson?
July is typically the warmest month in Carson, with average highs around 84°F.
How cold does Carson get?
The coldest month in Carson is January, when overnight lows average about 44°F.
How much rain does Carson get?
Carson sees roughly 23 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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