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Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 10°F

Carson weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Carson's high today between 71° and 82°, a 10° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 77°, with a 2% chance of rain.

76°56°
77°58°
76°62°
73°62°
72°62°
71°64°
Todaysplit ±10°Tomorrowsplit ±7°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
58°
Clear
Feels 59° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 91%
AmericanNOAA GFS
57°
Clear
Feels 56° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 88%
EuropeanECMWF
58°
Mainly clear
Feels 60° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 96%

Latest for Carson: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 58° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 57° Clear · European (ECMWF): 58° Mainly clear.

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Carson weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Carson…

Carson weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Carson swings 40°F across the year, from 83°F highs in August to 43°F lows in December, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 12 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 146 days a year at 77°F or above, 39 of them at 86°F or above, 0 frost nights, and rain on 33 days.

Warmest month
August
83°F average high
Coldest month
December
43°F average low
Wettest month
February
12 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
93,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
American
83/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
146 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
0 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
33 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Carson’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Carson and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Carson hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Carson 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
76° 56°
±10°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
77° 58°
±7°
Mon
Mostly clear
76° 62°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
73° 62°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
72° 62°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
71° 64°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
69° 63°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
69° 62°
±5°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
72° 62°
±13°
Mon
Light drizzle
73° 63°
±15°
Tue
Cloudy
72° 64°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
74° 63°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
74° 67°
models agree

Carson, California (CA) is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Dec (lows around 43°F), with roughly 12 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Carson right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Carson climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
63°
45°
Feb
65°
46°
Mar
66°
50°
Apr
70°
51°
May
73°
58°
Jun
78°
61°
Jul
82°
61°
Aug
83°
62°
Sep
82°
63°
Oct
78°
54°
Nov
72°
48°
Dec
63°
43°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Carson has changed since 1995

Carson sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Los Angeles. That square ran 1.1°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Los Angeles page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Carson?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
82±1.8°F86±4.4 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
68
/100rank #2
30±7.0°F91±2.8 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±10°71° to 82°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±7°74° to 81°±2%0% to 2% chance
Mon±3°75° to 77°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°72° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°71° to 74°±2%0% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Carson

today, local time
Sunrise
07:05
Sunset
18:08
Daylight
11h 3m

Common questions

What's the weather in Carson today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Carson's high today between 71° and 82°, a 10° split. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 77°, with a 2% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Carson today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Carson on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 2% (NWS 2%, American 2%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 1%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Carson?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Carson (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the European at 68. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Carson?
August is typically the warmest month in Carson, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Carson get?
The coldest month in Carson is December, when overnight lows average about 43°F.
How much rain does Carson get?
Carson sees roughly 12 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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