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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Carson City weather

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Partly cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 73° in Carson City today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 73°, with a 1% chance of rain.

73°48°
73°49°
77°48°
83°53°
84°63°
88°64°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
72°
Mostly clear
Today 72°·Low 48°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
74°
Partly cloudy
Today 74°·Low 46°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
72°
Partly cloudy
Today 72°·Low 51°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Carson City and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
73° 48°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
73° 49°
models agree
Mon
Clear
77° 48°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
83° 53°
±5°
Wed
Partly cloudy
84° 63°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
88° 64°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
83° 61°
±5°
Sat
Mostly clear
80° 55°
±4°
Sun
Partly cloudy
80° 54°
±8°
Mon
Clear
82° 53°
±10°
Tue
Clear
82° 55°
±13°
Wed
Cloudy
85° 55°
±7°
Thu
Cloudy
85° 56°
models agree
Fri
Clear
86° 56°
models agree

Carson City, NV is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 93°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 18 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Carson City right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Carson City climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
25°
Feb
39°
25°
Mar
43°
28°
Apr
59°
36°
May
70°
45°
Jun
80°
54°
Jul
93°
63°
Aug
86°
59°
Sep
78°
53°
Oct
68°
44°
Nov
51°
33°
Dec
47°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Carson City?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
82±1.8°F95±1.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F74±8.0 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°72° to 74°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±1°72° to 73°±1%0% to 1% chance
Mon±3°76° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±5°80° to 86°±2%2% to 4% chance
Wed±7°81° to 89°models agree4% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Carson City

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
19:23
Daylight
12h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Carson City today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Carson City today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Carson City today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Carson City and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Carson City?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Carson City (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Carson City?
July is typically the warmest month in Carson City, with average highs around 93°F.
How cold does Carson City get?
The coldest month in Carson City is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Carson City get?
Carson City sees roughly 18 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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