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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Caldwell weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 74° in Caldwell today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 76°, with a 69% chance of rain.

74°47°
76°52°
70°52°
77°49°
81°52°
88°57°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±6°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±11°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
74°
Partly cloudy
Today 74°·Low 48°·Rain 11%
AmericanNOAA GFS
75°
Fog
Today 75°·Low 46°·Rain 11%
EuropeanECMWF
73°
Partly cloudy
Today 73°·Low 48°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Caldwell and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
74° 47°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
76° 52°
±6°
Mon
Heavy drizzle
70° 52°
models agree
Tue
Clear
77° 49°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
81° 52°
±6°
Thu
Clear
88° 57°
±11°
Fri
Partly cloudy
80° 59°
±6°
Sat
Mostly clear
74° 53°
±6°
Sun
Clear
77° 50°
±7°
Mon
Partly cloudy
82° 52°
±8°
Tue
Light drizzle
86° 55°
±13°
Wed
Partly cloudy
90° 61°
models agree
Thu
Clear
86° 59°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
80° 56°
±16°

Caldwell, ID is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 98°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 15 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Caldwell right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Caldwell climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
25°
Feb
47°
28°
Mar
51°
32°
Apr
62°
39°
May
74°
50°
Jun
84°
59°
Jul
98°
69°
Aug
92°
65°
Sep
82°
57°
Oct
67°
45°
Nov
49°
34°
Dec
41°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in Caldwell?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F95±1.6 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F95±1.6 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°73° to 75°±11%0% to 11% chance
Tomorrow±6°74° to 80°±46%23% to 69% chance
Mon±2°69° to 72°±5%27% to 32% chance
Tue±3°76° to 79°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±6°79° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Caldwell

today, local time
Sunrise
07:15
Sunset
20:15
Daylight
13h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Caldwell today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Caldwell today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Caldwell today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Caldwell and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Caldwell?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Caldwell (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Caldwell?
July is typically the warmest month in Caldwell, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does Caldwell get?
The coldest month in Caldwell is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Caldwell get?
Caldwell sees roughly 15 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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