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CheckWeather US›Idaho›Caldwell
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Caldwell weather

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Mostly clear,warmer tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 59° in Caldwell today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 64°, with a 0% chance of rain.

59°34°
64°36°
65°45°
59°40°
59°39°
59°39°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±9°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
30°
Clear
Feels 26° · Wind 0 mph · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
31°
Clear
Feels 25° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 76%
EuropeanECMWF
38°
Clear
Feels 33° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 65%

Latest for Caldwell: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 30° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 31° Clear · European (ECMWF): 38° Clear.

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Caldwell weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Caldwell…

Caldwell weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Caldwell swings 69°F across the year, from 94°F highs in July to 25°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 11 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 123 days a year at 77°F or above, 82 of them at 86°F or above, 101 frost nights, and rain on 71 days.

Warmest month
July
94°F average high
Coldest month
January
25°F average low
Wettest month
December
11 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, May and October
Residents
52,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
123 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
101 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
71 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Caldwell’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Caldwell and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Caldwell hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Caldwell 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
59° 34°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
64° 36°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
65° 45°
±9°
Tue
Partly cloudy
59° 40°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
59° 39°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
59° 39°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
56° 38°
±5°
Sat
Cloudy
56° 36°
±5°
Sun
Clear
57° 34°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
59° 37°
±6°
Tue
Clear
55° 39°
±17°
Wed
Cloudy
59° 36°
±16°
Thu
Cloudy
61° 47°
±17°

Caldwell, Idaho (ID) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 94°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 11 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Caldwell right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Caldwell climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
39°
25°
Feb
46°
27°
Mar
55°
36°
Apr
63°
40°
May
73°
49°
Jun
83°
58°
Jul
94°
65°
Aug
91°
64°
Sep
80°
55°
Oct
64°
42°
Nov
48°
33°
Dec
37°
26°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Caldwell has changed since 1995

Caldwell sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Nampa. That square ran 0.8°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Nampa page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Caldwell?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
96±0.4°F96±1.2 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
95
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F95±1.6 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°57° to 60°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°64° to 66°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±9°61° to 69°±2%23% to 25% chance
Tue±1°59° to 60°±7%16% to 23% chance
Wed±2°58° to 60°±1%2% to 3% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Caldwell

today, local time
Sunrise
08:12
Sunset
18:48
Daylight
10h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Caldwell today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 59° in Caldwell today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 64°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Caldwell today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Caldwell on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Caldwell?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Caldwell (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 95. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Caldwell?
July is typically the warmest month in Caldwell, with average highs around 94°F.
How cold does Caldwell get?
The coldest month in Caldwell is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Caldwell get?
Caldwell sees roughly 11 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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