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Every US forecast, compared
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CheckWeather USBurlington

Burlington weather

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NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Mainly clear
Feels 85° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 64%
AmericanNOAA GFS
77°
Overcast
Feels 81° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 73%
EuropeanECMWF
79°
Overcast
Feels 83° · Wind 6 mph · Humidity 65%

Latest for Burlington: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 81° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 77° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 79° Overcast.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Burlington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split

Burlington, IA is at its warmest in Jun (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 21°F), with roughly 35 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Burlington right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Burlington climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
21°
Feb
48°
27°
Mar
52°
34°
Apr
64°
43°
May
77°
56°
Jun
85°
66°
Jul
84°
67°
Aug
83°
66°
Sep
79°
60°
Oct
68°
50°
Nov
53°
37°
Dec
42°
30°

Which forecast is most accurate in the US?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
87±1.3°F96±1.2 mph8592% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
73
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F93±2.2 mph4972% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Common questions

What's the weather in Burlington today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Burlington today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Burlington today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Burlington and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Burlington?
No single model is always right. NWS, American, European each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Burlington forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested US accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Burlington?
June is typically the warmest month in Burlington, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Burlington get?
The coldest month in Burlington is January, when overnight lows average about 21°F.
How much rain does Burlington get?
Burlington sees roughly 35 in of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather