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Every US forecast, compared
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CheckWeather USBozeman
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Bozeman weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 77° in Bozeman today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 80°, with a 4% chance of rain.

77°47°
80°50°
66°50°
67°44°
76°46°
81°53°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±8°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
77°
Mostly clear
Today 77°·Low 46°·Rain 3%
AmericanNOAA GFS
78°
Clear
Today 78°·Low 48°·Rain 3%
EuropeanECMWF
75°
Light drizzle
Today 75°·Low 49°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bozeman and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
77° 47°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
80° 50°
±8°
Mon
Light drizzle
66° 50°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
67° 44°
models agree
Wed
Clear
76° 46°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
81° 53°
±6°
Fri
Drizzle
68° 47°
±13°
Sat
Drizzle
54° 41°
±17°
Sun
Light drizzle
60° 38°
±14°
Mon
Clear
70° 43°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
73° 48°
±9°
Wed
Cloudy
74° 52°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
78° 48°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
69° 47°
±6°

Bozeman, MT is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 82°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 12°F), with roughly 20 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bozeman right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bozeman climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
31°
12°
Feb
34°
14°
Mar
40°
19°
Apr
51°
26°
May
61°
38°
Jun
69°
46°
Jul
82°
54°
Aug
79°
53°
Sep
71°
46°
Oct
57°
35°
Nov
42°
24°
Dec
40°
24°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bozeman?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
83±1.7°F95±1.6 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F81±5.9 mph8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°75° to 78°±5%3% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±8°77° to 84°±1%3% to 4% chance
Mon±4°64° to 68°±7%78% to 85% chance
Tue±1°66° to 68°±5%4% to 9% chance
Wed±4°75° to 79°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bozeman

today, local time
Sunrise
06:50
Sunset
19:54
Daylight
13h 4m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bozeman today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bozeman today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bozeman today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bozeman and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bozeman?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bozeman (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bozeman?
July is typically the warmest month in Bozeman, with average highs around 82°F.
How cold does Bozeman get?
The coldest month in Bozeman is January, when overnight lows average about 12°F.
How much rain does Bozeman get?
Bozeman sees roughly 20 in of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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