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CheckWeather USBoise
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Boise weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Boise's high today between 71° and 76°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 77°, with a 56% chance of rain.

75°49°
77°54°
69°52°
77°52°
82°54°
87°60°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
76°
Cloudy
Today 76°·Low 51°·Rain 24%
AmericanNOAA GFS
76°
Cloudy
Today 76°·Low 48°·Rain 24%
EuropeanECMWF
71°
Heavy drizzle
Today 71°·Low 47°·Rain 86%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Boise and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
75° 49°
±5°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
77° 54°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
69° 52°
models agree
Tue
Clear
77° 52°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
82° 54°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
87° 60°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
79° 61°
±7°
Sat
Mostly clear
72° 56°
±10°
Sun
Clear
76° 53°
±8°
Mon
Mostly clear
82° 55°
±7°
Tue
Light drizzle
85° 59°
±11°
Wed
Mostly clear
88° 62°
models agree
Thu
Clear
84° 60°
±8°
Fri
Partly cloudy
78° 56°
±18°

Boise, ID is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 96°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 26°F), with roughly 17 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Boise right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Boise climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
39°
26°
Feb
46°
28°
Mar
49°
30°
Apr
60°
38°
May
72°
48°
Jun
81°
56°
Jul
96°
66°
Aug
91°
63°
Sep
81°
55°
Oct
67°
44°
Nov
49°
32°
Dec
42°
29°

Which forecast is most accurate in Boise?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
90
/100rank #2
88±1.2°F94±2.0 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°71° to 76°±62%24% to 86% chance
Tomorrow±4°74° to 79°±35%21% to 56% chance
Mon±2°68° to 69°±29%28% to 57% chance
Tue±3°75° to 78°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°80° to 85°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Boise

today, local time
Sunrise
07:13
Sunset
20:13
Daylight
13h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Boise today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Boise today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Boise today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Boise and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Boise?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Boise (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Boise?
July is typically the warmest month in Boise, with average highs around 96°F.
How cold does Boise get?
The coldest month in Boise is January, when overnight lows average about 26°F.
How much rain does Boise get?
Boise sees roughly 17 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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