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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Bloomington weather

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Drizzle,cooler tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Bloomington's high today between 88° and 94°, a 6° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 83°, with a 5% chance of rain.

92°74°
83°68°
83°61°
91°65°
95°73°
82°68°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±7°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
94°
Drizzle
Today 94°·Low 73°·Rain 11%
AmericanNOAA GFS
94°
Partly cloudy
Today 94°·Low 76°·Rain 11%
EuropeanECMWF
88°
Light drizzle
Today 88°·Low 74°·Rain 49%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bloomington and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
92° 74°
±6°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
83° 68°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
83° 61°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
91° 65°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
95° 73°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
82° 68°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
84° 62°
±14°
Sat
Light drizzle
84° 64°
±4°
Sun
Drizzle
90° 68°
±11°
Mon
Drizzle
83° 63°
±26°
Tue
Drizzle
74° 57°
±10°
Wed
Cloudy
72° 51°
models agree
Thu
Clear
73° 50°
models agree
Fri
Clear
75° 52°
models agree

Bloomington, IN is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 85°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 27°F), with roughly 42 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bloomington right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bloomington climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
41°
27°
Feb
52°
32°
Mar
56°
36°
Apr
65°
45°
May
76°
56°
Jun
83°
63°
Jul
85°
66°
Aug
84°
65°
Sep
80°
60°
Oct
69°
50°
Nov
56°
40°
Dec
46°
32°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bloomington?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
64
/100rank #2
80±2.0°F94±2.0 mph2458% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°88° to 94°±38%11% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±3°82° to 85°±5%0% to 5% chance
Mon±2°81° to 83°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°90° to 92°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±3°94° to 97°±4%16% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bloomington

today, local time
Sunrise
07:18
Sunset
20:10
Daylight
12h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bloomington today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bloomington today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bloomington today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bloomington and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bloomington?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bloomington (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 64. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bloomington?
July is typically the warmest month in Bloomington, with average highs around 85°F.
How cold does Bloomington get?
The coldest month in Bloomington is January, when overnight lows average about 27°F.
How much rain does Bloomington get?
Bloomington sees roughly 42 in of precipitation a year, with March usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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