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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Bend weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 61° in Bend today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 62°, with a 17% chance of rain.

61°31°
62°39°
51°37°
50°34°
50°34°
48°31°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±5°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
32°
Mainly clear
Feels 24° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 69%
AmericanNOAA GFS
30°
Overcast
Feels 21° · Wind 8 mph · Humidity 74%
EuropeanECMWF
32°
Overcast
Feels 23° · Wind 9 mph · Humidity 60%

Latest for Bend: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 32° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 30° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 32° Overcast.

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Bend weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Bend…

Bend weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Bend swings 57°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 24°F lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 13 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 79 days a year at 77°F or above, 32 of them at 86°F or above, 121 frost nights, and rain on 104 days.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
January
24°F average low
Wettest month
December
13 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
87,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
95/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
79 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
121 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
104 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Bend’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bend and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bend hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bend 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
61° 31°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
62° 39°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
51° 37°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
50° 34°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
50° 34°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
48° 31°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
47° 28°
models agree
Sat
Light snow
50° 29°
±11°
Sun
Light snow
56° 30°
±14°
Mon
Light snow
58° 35°
±16°
Tue
Mostly clear
58° 35°
±25°
Wed
Light drizzle
59° 38°
±17°
Thu
Cloudy
54° 45°
±11°

Bend, Oregon (OR) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 24°F), with roughly 13 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bend right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bend climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
39°
24°
Feb
43°
27°
Mar
47°
29°
Apr
53°
31°
May
63°
39°
Jun
70°
44°
Jul
81°
50°
Aug
79°
52°
Sep
72°
46°
Oct
60°
38°
Nov
45°
31°
Dec
39°
26°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Bend's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.9°F

Around Bend, 2015-2024 averaged 1.9°F warmer than 1995-2004. 7 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2015.

1995: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average1996: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average1997: −1.2°F vs the 30-year average1998: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average1999: −2.1°F vs the 30-year average2000: −1.4°F vs the 30-year average2001: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2002: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2004: +0.8°F vs the 30-year average2005: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2006: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2007: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2008: −1.6°F vs the 30-year average2009: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2010: −1.0°F vs the 30-year average2011: −1.9°F vs the 30-year average2012: −0.3°F vs the 30-year average2013: −0.5°F vs the 30-year average2014: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2015: +2.2°F vs the 30-year average2016: +0.4°F vs the 30-year average2017: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2018: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2019: −0.1°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.3°F vs the 30-year average2021: +2.2°F vs the 30-year average2022: +1.8°F vs the 30-year average2023: +1.5°F vs the 30-year average2024: +1.8°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 86°F

21 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: −19 vs the 30-year average1996: −8 vs the 30-year average1997: −18 vs the 30-year average1998: −6 vs the 30-year average1999: −18 vs the 30-year average2000: −18 vs the 30-year average2001: −0 vs the 30-year average2002: −1 vs the 30-year average2003: +9 vs the 30-year average2004: −5 vs the 30-year average2005: −2 vs the 30-year average2006: −0 vs the 30-year average2007: −4 vs the 30-year average2008: −3 vs the 30-year average2009: +5 vs the 30-year average2010: −4 vs the 30-year average2011: −15 vs the 30-year average2012: −5 vs the 30-year average2013: −5 vs the 30-year average2014: −6 vs the 30-year average2015: −2 vs the 30-year average2016: −2 vs the 30-year average2017: +11 vs the 30-year average2018: +7 vs the 30-year average2019: −1 vs the 30-year average2020: +17 vs the 30-year average2021: +32 vs the 30-year average2022: +29 vs the 30-year average2023: +13 vs the 30-year average2024: +21 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

9 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −26 vs the 30-year average1996: +9 vs the 30-year average1997: +3 vs the 30-year average1998: +12 vs the 30-year average1999: +15 vs the 30-year average2000: +15 vs the 30-year average2001: −1 vs the 30-year average2002: +6 vs the 30-year average2003: −5 vs the 30-year average2004: −12 vs the 30-year average2005: −11 vs the 30-year average2006: +6 vs the 30-year average2007: −1 vs the 30-year average2008: +15 vs the 30-year average2009: +16 vs the 30-year average2010: +14 vs the 30-year average2011: +23 vs the 30-year average2012: +9 vs the 30-year average2013: +7 vs the 30-year average2014: −25 vs the 30-year average2015: −38 vs the 30-year average2016: −31 vs the 30-year average2017: +7 vs the 30-year average2018: −10 vs the 30-year average2019: −2 vs the 30-year average2020: +2 vs the 30-year average2021: −4 vs the 30-year average2022: +10 vs the 30-year average2023: −12 vs the 30-year average2024: +4 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +3% vs the 30-year average1997: −1% vs the 30-year average1998: −4% vs the 30-year average1999: +3% vs the 30-year average2000: −7% vs the 30-year average2001: −4% vs the 30-year average2002: −1% vs the 30-year average2003: −1% vs the 30-year average2004: −4% vs the 30-year average2005: −4% vs the 30-year average2006: +3% vs the 30-year average2007: −1% vs the 30-year average2008: +3% vs the 30-year average2009: +3% vs the 30-year average2010: +3% vs the 30-year average2011: −1% vs the 30-year average2012: +3% vs the 30-year average2013: −4% vs the 30-year average2014: +3% vs the 30-year average2015: −7% vs the 30-year average2016: +3% vs the 30-year average2017: +6% vs the 30-year average2018: −1% vs the 30-year average2019: −4% vs the 30-year average2020: +3% vs the 30-year average2021: +3% vs the 30-year average2022: +3% vs the 30-year average2023: −1% vs the 30-year average2024: +3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >86°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.7°F−19−26+3%
1996−1.4°F−8+9+3%
1997−1.2°F−18+3−1%
1998−1.4°F−6+12−4%
1999−2.1°F−18+15+3%
2000−1.4°F−18+15−7%
2001±0.0°F−0−1−4%
2002−0.1°F−1+6−1%
2003+0.9°F+9−5−1%
2004+0.8°F−5−12−4%
2005−0.1°F−2−11−4%
2006−0.3°F−0+6+3%
2007−0.5°F−4−1−1%
2008−1.6°F−3+15+3%
2009−0.5°F+5+16+3%
2010−1.0°F−4+14+3%
2011−1.9°F−15+23−1%
2012−0.3°F−5+9+3%
2013−0.5°F−5+7−4%
2014+1.5°F−6−25+3%
2015+2.2°F−2−38−7%
2016+0.4°F−2−31+3%
2017+0.2°F+11+7+6%
2018+0.9°F+7−10−1%
2019−0.1°F−1−2−4%
2020+1.3°F+17+2+3%
2021+2.2°F+32−4+3%
2022+1.8°F+29+10+3%
2023+1.5°F+13−12−1%
2024+1.8°F+21+4+3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Bend, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bend?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
91±0.9°F96±1.2 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
68±3.2°F96±1.1 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°60° to 63°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±5°59° to 64°±7%10% to 17% chance
Mon±5°49° to 53°±8%35% to 43% chance
Tuemodels agree50° to 50°±4%7% to 11% chance
Wed±1°50° to 51°±7%6% to 13% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bend

today, local time
Sunrise
07:31
Sunset
18:06
Daylight
10h 35m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bend today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 61° in Bend today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 62°, with a 17% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Bend today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Bend on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 17% (NWS 17%, American 17%, European 10%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bend?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bend (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bend?
July is typically the warmest month in Bend, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Bend get?
The coldest month in Bend is January, when overnight lows average about 24°F.
How much rain does Bend get?
Bend sees roughly 13 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
Is Bend getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Bend, 2015-2024 averaged 1.9°F warmer than 1995-2004.

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