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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Bend weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Bend's high today between 63° and 67°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks light rain around 55°, with a 100% chance of rain.

64°41°
55°46°
66°43°
73°46°
83°51°
82°56°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
63°
Light drizzle
Today 63°·Low 42°·Rain 34%
AmericanNOAA GFS
67°
Drizzle
Today 67°·Low 40°·Rain 34%
EuropeanECMWF
63°
Light drizzle
Today 63°·Low 40°·Rain 80%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bend and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
64° 41°
±4°
Tomorrow
Light rain
55° 46°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
66° 43°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
73° 46°
models agree
Wed
Clear
83° 51°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
82° 56°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
71° 51°
±8°
Sat
Mostly clear
67° 46°
±5°
Sun
Clear
73° 48°
±7°
Mon
Clear
77° 50°
±13°
Tue
Cloudy
76° 54°
±12°
Wed
Partly cloudy
79° 52°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
70° 48°
±15°
Fri
Cloudy
73° 45°
±9°

Bend, OR is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 87°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 27 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bend right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bend climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
40°
25°
Feb
43°
27°
Mar
44°
26°
Apr
54°
32°
May
65°
41°
Jun
74°
48°
Jul
87°
56°
Aug
82°
55°
Sep
74°
48°
Oct
62°
40°
Nov
46°
32°
Dec
44°
31°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bend?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F94±1.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
66±3.4°F94±1.8 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°63° to 67°±46%34% to 80% chance
Tomorrow±2°54° to 56°±29%71% to 100% chance
Mon±3°64° to 68°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±3°72° to 75°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±7°80° to 87°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bend

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
19:34
Daylight
13h 1m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bend today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bend today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bend today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bend and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bend?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bend (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bend?
July is typically the warmest month in Bend, with average highs around 87°F.
How cold does Bend get?
The coldest month in Bend is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Bend get?
Bend sees roughly 27 in of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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