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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 6°F

Belmont Cragin weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Belmont Cragin's high today between 66° and 72°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 72°, with a 3% chance of rain.

69°49°
72°51°
62°54°
65°53°
72°56°
71°56°
Todaysplit ±6°Tomorrowsplit ±7°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±7°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
70°
Partly cloudy
Today 70°·Low 50°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
72°
Cloudy
Today 72°·Low 47°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
66°
Cloudy
Today 66°·Low 51°·Rain 1%
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Belmont Cragin weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Belmont Cragin weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Belmont Cragin swings 62°F across the year, from 81°F highs in July to 19°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 40 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 93 days a year at 77°F or above, 30 of them at 86°F or above, 111 frost nights, and rain on 132 days.

Warmest month
July
81°F average high
Coldest month
January
19°F average low
Wettest month
August
40 in a year
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, September and October
Residents
79,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
91/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
93 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
111 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
132 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Belmont Cragin’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Belmont Cragin and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Belmont Cragin hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Belmont Cragin 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
69° 49°
±6°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
72° 51°
±7°
Mon
Cloudy
62° 54°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
65° 53°
±7°
Wed
Cloudy
72° 56°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
71° 56°
±6°
Fri
Partly cloudy
68° 54°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
70° 56°
±8°
Sun
Drizzle
65° 55°
±7°
Mon
Drizzle
60° 46°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
48° 43°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
52° 43°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
57° 45°
±15°

Belmont Cragin, Illinois (IL) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 19°F), with roughly 40 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Belmont Cragin right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Belmont Cragin climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
19°
Feb
38°
21°
Mar
46°
30°
Apr
57°
38°
May
67°
46°
Jun
78°
58°
Jul
81°
63°
Aug
80°
63°
Sep
73°
57°
Oct
60°
43°
Nov
46°
33°
Dec
36°
25°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Belmont Cragin has changed since 1995

Belmont Cragin sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Chicago. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Chicago page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Belmont Cragin?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F97±0.9 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
85±1.5°F94±1.9 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±6°66° to 72°±3%1% to 4% chance
Tomorrow±7°69° to 76°±1%2% to 3% chance
Mon±4°61° to 64°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tue±7°61° to 68°±21%1% to 22% chance
Wed±3°70° to 74°±15%5% to 20% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Belmont Cragin

today, local time
Sunrise
07:14
Sunset
17:55
Daylight
10h 41m

Common questions

What's the weather in Belmont Cragin today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Belmont Cragin's high today between 66° and 72°, a 6° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 72°, with a 3% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Belmont Cragin today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Belmont Cragin on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 3% (NWS 3%, American 3%, European 2%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 4%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Belmont Cragin?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Belmont Cragin (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Belmont Cragin?
July is typically the warmest month in Belmont Cragin, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Belmont Cragin get?
The coldest month in Belmont Cragin is January, when overnight lows average about 19°F.
How much rain does Belmont Cragin get?
Belmont Cragin sees roughly 40 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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