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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Beavercreek weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 68° in Beavercreek today. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 70°, with a 0% chance of rain.

68°43°
70°43°
71°46°
68°48°
71°50°
73°49°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
69°
Mostly clear
Today 69°·Low 43°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
69°
Cloudy
Today 69°·Low 42°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
67°
Mostly clear
Today 67°·Low 45°·Rain 0%
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Beavercreek weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

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Beavercreek weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Beavercreek swings 60°F across the year, from 83°F highs in July to 23°F lows in February, and May is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 43 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 115 days a year at 77°F or above, 35 of them at 86°F or above, 91 frost nights, and rain on 134 days.

Warmest month
July
83°F average high
Coldest month
February
23°F average low
Wettest month
May
43 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
April, September and October
Residents
46,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
97/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
115 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
91 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
134 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Beavercreek’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Beavercreek and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Beavercreek hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Beavercreek 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
68° 43°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
70° 43°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
71° 46°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
68° 48°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
71° 50°
models agree
Thu
Clear
73° 49°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
71° 48°
±6°
Sat
Cloudy
72° 49°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
70° 56°
±7°
Mon
Light rain
62° 48°
±6°
Tue
Cloudy
54° 41°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
52° 38°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
58° 41°
±14°

Beavercreek, Ohio (OH) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 83°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 23°F), with roughly 43 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Beavercreek right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Beavercreek climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
36°
24°
Feb
43°
23°
Mar
51°
32°
Apr
63°
43°
May
72°
53°
Jun
81°
62°
Jul
83°
65°
Aug
82°
63°
Sep
76°
57°
Oct
64°
46°
Nov
50°
35°
Dec
40°
28°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Beavercreek has changed since 1995

Beavercreek sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Hamilton. That square ran 1.6°F warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Hamilton page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Beavercreek?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
97±0.3°F98±0.6 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
81±1.9°F96±1.4 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°67° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±4°68° to 72°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±4°69° to 72°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°68° to 69°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°70° to 72°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Beavercreek

today, local time
Sunrise
07:56
Sunset
18:44
Daylight
10h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Beavercreek today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 68° in Beavercreek today. Tomorrow: mostly clear, around 70°, with a 0% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Beavercreek today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Beavercreek on Sunday, October 25: no model gives more than 0% (NWS 0%, American 0%, European 0%). On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Beavercreek?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Beavercreek (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Beavercreek?
July is typically the warmest month in Beavercreek, with average highs around 83°F.
How cold does Beavercreek get?
The coldest month in Beavercreek is February, when overnight lows average about 23°F.
How much rain does Beavercreek get?
Beavercreek sees roughly 43 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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