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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Barnstable weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 69° in Barnstable today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 67°, with a 84% chance of rain.

69°61°
67°58°
73°57°
75°61°
75°63°
79°68°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±8°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
68°
Partly cloudy
Today 68°·Low 61°·Rain 4%
AmericanNOAA GFS
70°
Cloudy
Today 70°·Low 61°·Rain 4%
EuropeanECMWF
70°
Light drizzle
Today 70°·Low 62°·Rain 70%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Barnstable and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
69° 61°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
67° 58°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
73° 57°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
75° 61°
±8°
Wed
Cloudy
75° 63°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
79° 68°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
75° 63°
±7°
Sat
Mostly clear
73° 63°
±7°
Sun
Partly cloudy
76° 63°
±6°
Mon
Mostly clear
78° 66°
±9°
Tue
Drizzle
73° 65°
±8°
Wed
Light drizzle
74° 63°
±13°
Thu
Cloudy
68° 59°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
66° 59°
±4°

Barnstable, MA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 81°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 29°F), with roughly 48 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Barnstable right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Barnstable climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
42°
32°
Feb
42°
29°
Mar
47°
36°
Apr
55°
42°
May
63°
50°
Jun
73°
60°
Jul
81°
69°
Aug
77°
65°
Sep
72°
61°
Oct
64°
52°
Nov
52°
41°
Dec
45°
35°

Which forecast is most accurate in Barnstable?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
89±1.1°F96±1.3 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
76
/100rank #2
83±1.7°F95±1.5 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°68° to 70°±66%4% to 70% chance
Tomorrow±3°66° to 68°±68%16% to 84% chance
Mon±3°72° to 75°±9%4% to 13% chance
Tue±8°72° to 80°±39%0% to 39% chance
Wed±4°73° to 77°models agree12% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Barnstable

today, local time
Sunrise
06:11
Sunset
19:08
Daylight
12h 57m

Common questions

What's the weather in Barnstable today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Barnstable today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Barnstable today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Barnstable and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Barnstable?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Barnstable (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the American at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Barnstable?
July is typically the warmest month in Barnstable, with average highs around 81°F.
How cold does Barnstable get?
The coldest month in Barnstable is February, when overnight lows average about 29°F.
How much rain does Barnstable get?
Barnstable sees roughly 48 in of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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