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CheckWeather USBakersfield
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°F

Bakersfield weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Bakersfield's high today between 88° and 93°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 90°, with a 33% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

91°63°
90°66°
93°65°
96°69°
101°74°
104°77°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±8°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±12°Wednesdaysplit ±12°Thursdaysplit ±13°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
88°
Mostly clear
Today 88°·Low 66°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
92°
Clear
Today 92°·Low 60°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Clear
Today 93°·Low 64°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Bakersfield and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
91° 63°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
90° 66°
±8°
Mon
Clear
93° 65°
±7°
Tue
Cloudy
96° 69°
±12°
Wed
Partly cloudy
101° 74°
±12°
Thu
Clear
104° 77°
±13°
Fri
Clear
101° 77°
±13°
Sat
Clear
95° 72°
±9°
Sun
Mostly clear
93° 67°
±8°
Mon
Clear
93° 66°
±13°
Tue
Clear
95° 66°
±17°
Wed
Cloudy
100° 66°
±8°
Thu
Cloudy
100° 71°
±7°
Fri
Clear
99° 68°
models agree

Bakersfield, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 109°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 16 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Bakersfield right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Bakersfield climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
59°
42°
Feb
62°
42°
Mar
65°
46°
Apr
78°
53°
May
88°
62°
Jun
96°
69°
Jul
109°
78°
Aug
101°
73°
Sep
94°
68°
Oct
86°
60°
Nov
68°
46°
Dec
62°
44°

Which forecast is most accurate in Bakersfield?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F96±1.3 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
95
/100rank #2
91±0.9°F94±1.9 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°88° to 93°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±8°85° to 93°±30%3% to 33% chance
Mon±7°89° to 96°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tue±12°90° to 102°±9%7% to 16% chance
Wed±12°95° to 107°±17%4% to 21% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bakersfield

today, local time
Sunrise
06:31
Sunset
19:17
Daylight
12h 46m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bakersfield today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Bakersfield today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Bakersfield today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Bakersfield and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bakersfield?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bakersfield (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the American at 95. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bakersfield?
July is typically the warmest month in Bakersfield, with average highs around 109°F.
How cold does Bakersfield get?
The coldest month in Bakersfield is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Bakersfield get?
Bakersfield sees roughly 16 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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