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CheckWeather USArvada
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Arvada weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 93° in Arvada today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 92°, with a 37% chance of rain.

93°63°
92°64°
87°64°
86°65°
84°65°
91°62°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±8°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
92°
Partly cloudy
Today 92°·Low 65°·Rain 6%
AmericanNOAA GFS
94°
Cloudy
Today 94°·Low 62°·Rain 6%
EuropeanECMWF
93°
Mostly clear
Today 93°·Low 62°·Rain 25%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Arvada and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
93° 63°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
92° 64°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
87° 64°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
86° 65°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
84° 65°
±8°
Thu
Partly cloudy
91° 62°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
90° 65°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
81° 59°
±13°
Sun
Light drizzle
72° 57°
±11°
Mon
Light drizzle
77° 52°
±16°
Tue
Mostly clear
82° 56°
±10°
Wed
Clear
89° 58°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
88° 63°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
82° 65°
models agree

Arvada, CO is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 88°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 12°F), with roughly 19 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Arvada right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Arvada climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
34°
12°
Feb
43°
16°
Mar
50°
24°
Apr
62°
33°
May
70°
44°
Jun
81°
55°
Jul
88°
58°
Aug
87°
59°
Sep
82°
51°
Oct
69°
40°
Nov
50°
26°
Dec
46°
25°

Which forecast is most accurate in Arvada?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
94±0.6°F94±1.8 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
86±1.4°F90±3.2 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°92° to 94°±19%6% to 25% chance
Tomorrow±3°90° to 93°±24%13% to 37% chance
Mon±1°86° to 88°±50%26% to 76% chance
Tue±4°84° to 88°±24%19% to 43% chance
Wed±8°80° to 88°models agree16% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Arvada

today, local time
Sunrise
06:32
Sunset
19:25
Daylight
12h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Arvada today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Arvada today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Arvada today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Arvada and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Arvada?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Arvada (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Arvada?
July is typically the warmest month in Arvada, with average highs around 88°F.
How cold does Arvada get?
The coldest month in Arvada is January, when overnight lows average about 12°F.
How much rain does Arvada get?
Arvada sees roughly 19 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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