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CheckWeather USApple Valley
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°F

Apple Valley weather

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Clear,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 87° in Apple Valley today. Tomorrow looks light rain around 75°, with a 98% chance of rain.

87°60°
75°66°
87°63°
91°69°
95°73°
98°76°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaysplit ±7°Thursdaysplit ±8°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
87°
Clear
Today 87°·Low 61°·Rain 1%
AmericanNOAA GFS
88°
Clear
Today 88°·Low 57°·Rain 1%
EuropeanECMWF
88°
Mostly clear
Today 88°·Low 61°·Rain 12%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Apple Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
87° 60°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
75° 66°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
87° 63°
±5°
Tue
Mostly clear
91° 69°
±6°
Wed
Mostly clear
95° 73°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
98° 76°
±8°
Fri
Clear
94° 74°
models agree
Sat
Clear
89° 68°
±7°
Sun
Clear
91° 66°
±5°
Mon
Clear
92° 68°
±7°
Tue
Clear
92° 69°
±11°
Wed
Light drizzle
94° 73°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
92° 71°
models agree
Fri
Clear
90° 69°
±10°

Apple Valley, CA is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 100°F) and coldest in Feb (lows around 38°F), with roughly 13 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Apple Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Apple Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
54°
39°
Feb
54°
38°
Mar
56°
40°
Apr
71°
48°
May
78°
54°
Jun
87°
62°
Jul
100°
74°
Aug
94°
69°
Sep
88°
64°
Oct
81°
58°
Nov
64°
44°
Dec
62°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in Apple Valley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
92±0.8°F97±1.0 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
94
/100rank #2
93±0.7°F94±1.8 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°87° to 88°±11%1% to 12% chance
Tomorrow±1°74° to 75°±47%51% to 98% chance
Mon±5°85° to 90°±23%6% to 29% chance
Tue±6°89° to 95°±5%6% to 11% chance
Wed±7°92° to 99°±1%12% to 13% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Apple Valley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:25
Sunset
19:09
Daylight
12h 44m

Common questions

What's the weather in Apple Valley today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Apple Valley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Apple Valley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Apple Valley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Apple Valley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Apple Valley (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 94. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Apple Valley?
July is typically the warmest month in Apple Valley, with average highs around 100°F.
How cold does Apple Valley get?
The coldest month in Apple Valley is February, when overnight lows average about 38°F.
How much rain does Apple Valley get?
Apple Valley sees roughly 13 in of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More US weather