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CheckWeather USAmarillo
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Amarillo weather

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Showers,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 96° in Amarillo today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 93°, with a 8% chance of rain.

96°72°
93°74°
94°73°
96°75°
97°76°
94°73°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
96°
Showers
Today 96°·Low 74°·Rain 12%
AmericanNOAA GFS
97°
Cloudy
Today 97°·Low 72°·Rain 12%
EuropeanECMWF
96°
Drizzle
Today 96°·Low 71°·Rain 35%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Amarillo and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
96° 72°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
93° 74°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
94° 73°
models agree
Tue
Clear
96° 75°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
97° 76°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
94° 73°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
98° 73°
±9°
Sat
Light drizzle
97° 74°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
89° 68°
±14°
Mon
Light drizzle
77° 61°
±13°
Tue
Light drizzle
78° 61°
±23°
Wed
Cloudy
79° 63°
±13°
Thu
Mostly clear
85° 64°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
88° 67°
±4°

Amarillo, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 95°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 28°F), with roughly 18 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Amarillo right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Amarillo climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
49°
28°
Feb
58°
34°
Mar
63°
39°
Apr
72°
47°
May
80°
57°
Jun
89°
66°
Jul
93°
71°
Aug
95°
72°
Sep
87°
64°
Oct
77°
53°
Nov
62°
40°
Dec
55°
34°

Which forecast is most accurate in Amarillo?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
90±1.0°F97±1.0 mph7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #2
87±1.3°F93±2.1 mph5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°96° to 97°±23%12% to 35% chance
Tomorrow±2°93° to 94°±1%7% to 8% chance
Mon±1°94° to 94°±5%3% to 8% chance
Tue±3°95° to 98°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±3°94° to 98°±2%7% to 9% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Amarillo

today, local time
Sunrise
07:23
Sunset
20:08
Daylight
12h 45m

Common questions

What's the weather in Amarillo today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Amarillo today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Amarillo today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Amarillo and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Amarillo?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Amarillo (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 77. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Amarillo?
August is typically the warmest month in Amarillo, with average highs around 95°F.
How cold does Amarillo get?
The coldest month in Amarillo is January, when overnight lows average about 28°F.
How much rain does Amarillo get?
Amarillo sees roughly 18 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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