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Alhambra weekend weather

This weekend in Alhambra, AZ, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split — so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 114° across the weekend. Agreement is medium — plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day.

Sat

2026-08-01 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
114°
Mostly clear
High 114°·Low 91°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
114°
Cloudy
High 114°·Low 94°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
117°
Clear
High 117°·Low 90°·Rain 0%

All 3 models land within 3° of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Sun

2026-08-02 — every model, side by side
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
113°
Mostly clear
High 113°·Low 92°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
110°
Cloudy
High 110°·Low 91°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
115°
Mostly clear
High 115°·Low 92°·Rain 0%

The models range from 110° to 115°. Treat the middle of that range as the likely outcome and keep a backup plan.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°111° to 113°±1%0% to 1% chance
Tomorrow±2°113° to 115°±1%0% to 1% chance
Sat±3°114° to 117°models agree0% to 0% chance
Sun±5°110° to 115°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°111° to 112°±5%5% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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