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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 3°F

Alexandria weather

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Showers,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 90° in Alexandria today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 92°, with a 33% chance of rain.

90°75°
92°75°
95°75°
96°75°
94°75°
94°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±4°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
90°
Clear
Feels 100° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 65%
AmericanNOAA GFS
86°
Clear
Feels 97° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 76%
EuropeanECMWF
88°
Clear
Feels 99° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 70%

Latest for Alexandria: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 90° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 86° Clear · European (ECMWF): 88° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Alexandria and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
90° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
92° 75°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
95° 75°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
96° 75°
±4°
Wed
Mostly clear
94° 75°
±5°
Thu
Mostly clear
94° 75°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
95° 75°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
95° 74°
±9°
Sun
Light drizzle
95° 75°
±9°
Mon
Light drizzle
94° 74°
±10°
Tue
Drizzle
91° 73°
±9°
Wed
Light drizzle
88° 67°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
91° 64°
models agree
Fri
Clear
92° 63°
models agree

Alexandria, LA is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 98°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 42°F), with roughly 50 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Alexandria right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Alexandria climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
61°
42°
Feb
67°
48°
Mar
72°
53°
Apr
77°
58°
May
85°
67°
Jun
93°
73°
Jul
93°
76°
Aug
98°
78°
Sep
90°
71°
Oct
83°
61°
Nov
72°
54°
Dec
64°
45°

Which forecast is most accurate in Alexandria?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
80±2.0°F94±1.9 mph7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
81
/100rank #2
92±0.8°F96±1.2 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°89° to 92°±53%40% to 93% chance
Tomorrow±4°90° to 94°±24%9% to 33% chance
Mon±3°94° to 97°±35%24% to 59% chance
Tue±4°94° to 98°±20%17% to 37% chance
Wed±5°92° to 97°±27%12% to 39% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Alexandria

today, local time
Sunrise
06:48
Sunset
19:28
Daylight
12h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Alexandria today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Alexandria today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Alexandria today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Alexandria and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Alexandria?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Alexandria (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the European at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Alexandria?
August is typically the warmest month in Alexandria, with average highs around 98°F.
How cold does Alexandria get?
The coldest month in Alexandria is January, when overnight lows average about 42°F.
How much rain does Alexandria get?
Alexandria sees roughly 50 in of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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