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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 5°F

Albuquerque (ABQ) weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model put Albuquerque's high today between 63° and 67°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 67°, with a 82% chance of rain.

65°53°
67°50°
67°49°
69°49°
69°49°
69°52°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
53°
Overcast
Feels 52° · Wind 4 mph · Humidity 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
54°
Overcast
Feels 53° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 92%
EuropeanECMWF
52°
Light drizzle
Feels 51° · Wind 3 mph · Humidity 96%

Latest for Albuquerque: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 53° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 54° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 52° Light drizzle.

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Albuquerque weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts covering Albuquerque…

Albuquerque weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Albuquerque swings 66°F across the year, from 91°F highs in July to 25°F lows in January, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 11 in of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 159 days a year at 77°F or above, 99 of them at 86°F or above, 80 frost nights, and rain on 47 days.

Warmest month
July
91°F average high
Coldest month
January
25°F average low
Wettest month
August
11 in a year
Comfortable
3 months
March, April and October
Residents
565,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
89/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
159 days
a year at 77°F or above
Frost nights
80 nights
a year below 32°F
Rain days
47 days
a year with 0.04 in or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Albuquerque’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Albuquerque and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Albuquerque in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Albuquerque, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

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Albuquerque hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Albuquerque 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
65° 53°
±5°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
67° 50°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
67° 49°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
69° 49°
±5°
Wed
Mostly clear
69° 49°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
69° 52°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
64° 51°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
65° 50°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
64° 50°
±5°
Mon
Drizzle
60° 49°
±8°
Tue
Cloudy
63° 48°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
63° 48°
±9°
Thu
Light drizzle
60° 47°
±11°

Albuquerque, New Mexico (NM) (often shortened to ABQ) is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 91°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 25°F), with roughly 11 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Albuquerque right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Albuquerque climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
44°
25°
Feb
52°
29°
Mar
60°
37°
Apr
70°
42°
May
80°
53°
Jun
90°
63°
Jul
91°
65°
Aug
90°
65°
Sep
83°
57°
Oct
70°
44°
Nov
55°
34°
Dec
45°
26°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Albuquerque's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+1.5°F

Around Albuquerque, 2015-2024 averaged 1.5°F warmer than 1995-2004. 7 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.

1995: −0.9°F vs the 30-year average1996: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average1997: −2.0°F vs the 30-year average1998: −1.5°F vs the 30-year average1999: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2000: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2001: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2002: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2003: +0.9°F vs the 30-year average2004: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2005: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2006: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2007: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2008: −1.8°F vs the 30-year average2009: −1.1°F vs the 30-year average2010: −0.7°F vs the 30-year average2011: −0.6°F vs the 30-year average2012: +1.1°F vs the 30-year average2013: −1.3°F vs the 30-year average2014: +0.2°F vs the 30-year average2015: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2016: +0.5°F vs the 30-year average2017: +1.8°F vs the 30-year average2018: +1.6°F vs the 30-year average2019: ±0.0°F vs the 30-year average2020: +1.4°F vs the 30-year average2021: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2022: +0.3°F vs the 30-year average2023: +1.2°F vs the 30-year average2024: +2.0°F vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 95°F

11 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −6 vs the 30-year average1996: −6 vs the 30-year average1997: −18 vs the 30-year average1998: −13 vs the 30-year average1999: −18 vs the 30-year average2000: +10 vs the 30-year average2001: −3 vs the 30-year average2002: +13 vs the 30-year average2003: +10 vs the 30-year average2004: −7 vs the 30-year average2005: +11 vs the 30-year average2006: −8 vs the 30-year average2007: −3 vs the 30-year average2008: −16 vs the 30-year average2009: −10 vs the 30-year average2010: −3 vs the 30-year average2011: +15 vs the 30-year average2012: +2 vs the 30-year average2013: −7 vs the 30-year average2014: −12 vs the 30-year average2015: −15 vs the 30-year average2016: +6 vs the 30-year average2017: −6 vs the 30-year average2018: +8 vs the 30-year average2019: +12 vs the 30-year average2020: +26 vs the 30-year average2021: −3 vs the 30-year average2022: −5 vs the 30-year average2023: +28 vs the 30-year average2024: +19 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

20 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 32°F

1995: +1 vs the 30-year average1996: +14 vs the 30-year average1997: +22 vs the 30-year average1998: +14 vs the 30-year average1999: +4 vs the 30-year average2000: +5 vs the 30-year average2001: +0 vs the 30-year average2002: +6 vs the 30-year average2003: +3 vs the 30-year average2004: −4 vs the 30-year average2005: −8 vs the 30-year average2006: +8 vs the 30-year average2007: −11 vs the 30-year average2008: +26 vs the 30-year average2009: +12 vs the 30-year average2010: +23 vs the 30-year average2011: +8 vs the 30-year average2012: −3 vs the 30-year average2013: +8 vs the 30-year average2014: −12 vs the 30-year average2015: −16 vs the 30-year average2016: −22 vs the 30-year average2017: −41 vs the 30-year average2018: −14 vs the 30-year average2019: −2 vs the 30-year average2020: −7 vs the 30-year average2021: −18 vs the 30-year average2022: +11 vs the 30-year average2023: −6 vs the 30-year average2024: −12 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +3% vs the 30-year average1997: −3% vs the 30-year average1998: +3% vs the 30-year average1999: +3% vs the 30-year average2000: +3% vs the 30-year average2001: −0% vs the 30-year average2002: −0% vs the 30-year average2003: −0% vs the 30-year average2004: −3% vs the 30-year average2005: −0% vs the 30-year average2006: −0% vs the 30-year average2007: −3% vs the 30-year average2008: +3% vs the 30-year average2009: −0% vs the 30-year average2010: −0% vs the 30-year average2011: +5% vs the 30-year average2012: −0% vs the 30-year average2013: +3% vs the 30-year average2014: +3% vs the 30-year average2015: −6% vs the 30-year average2016: −0% vs the 30-year average2017: −0% vs the 30-year average2018: −0% vs the 30-year average2019: −0% vs the 30-year average2020: +3% vs the 30-year average2021: −0% vs the 30-year average2022: −3% vs the 30-year average2023: −0% vs the 30-year average2024: −3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >95°F vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.9°F−6+1+3%
1996−0.6°F−6+14+3%
1997−2.0°F−18+22−3%
1998−1.5°F−13+14+3%
1999−0.7°F−18+4+3%
2000+0.5°F+10+5+3%
2001+0.3°F−3+0−0%
2002+0.3°F+13+6−0%
2003+0.9°F+10+3−0%
2004−1.1°F−7−4−3%
2005+0.2°F+11−8−0%
2006−0.7°F−8+8−0%
2007−0.6°F−3−11−3%
2008−1.8°F−16+26+3%
2009−1.1°F−10+12−0%
2010−0.7°F−3+23−0%
2011−0.6°F+15+8+5%
2012+1.1°F+2−3−0%
2013−1.3°F−7+8+3%
2014+0.2°F−12−12+3%
2015±0.0°F−15−16−6%
2016+0.5°F+6−22−0%
2017+1.8°F−6−41−0%
2018+1.6°F+8−14−0%
2019±0.0°F+12−2−0%
2020+1.4°F+26−7+3%
2021+1.2°F−3−18−0%
2022+0.3°F−5+11−3%
2023+1.2°F+28−6−0%
2024+2.0°F+19−12−3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Albuquerque, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Albuquerque?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
85±1.5°F95±1.6 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
75
/100rank #2
68±3.2°F92±2.6 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United States? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

NWSNational Blend (NBM)
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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EuropeanECMWF
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°63° to 67°±23%59% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±1°66° to 67°±58%24% to 82% chance
Mon±1°66° to 67°±43%18% to 61% chance
Tue±5°67° to 72°±6%6% to 12% chance
Wed±2°68° to 70°±1%1% to 2% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Albuquerque

today, local time
Sunrise
07:20
Sunset
18:20
Daylight
11h 0m

Common questions

What's the weather in Albuquerque today?
Saturday, October 24: NWS, the American and the European model put Albuquerque's high today between 63° and 67°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: partly cloudy, around 67°, with a 82% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Albuquerque today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Albuquerque on Sunday, October 25: NWS 24%, American 24%, European 82%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday, October 24 the highest chance of rain from any model is 82%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Albuquerque?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Albuquerque (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Albuquerque?
July is typically the warmest month in Albuquerque, with average highs around 91°F.
How cold does Albuquerque get?
The coldest month in Albuquerque is January, when overnight lows average about 25°F.
How much rain does Albuquerque get?
Albuquerque sees roughly 11 in of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.
Is Albuquerque getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Albuquerque, 2015-2024 averaged 1.5°F warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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