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CheckWeather USAbilene
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

Abilene weather

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Mostly clear,much the same tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 100° in Abilene today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 98°, with a 14% chance of rain.

100°75°
98°77°
98°77°
101°79°
100°80°
102°78°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
100°
Mostly clear
Today 100°·Low 76°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
101°
Partly cloudy
Today 101°·Low 75°·Rain 0%
EuropeanECMWF
99°
Clear
Today 99°·Low 76°·Rain 2%

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around Abilene and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
100° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
98° 77°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
98° 77°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
101° 79°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
100° 80°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
102° 78°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
101° 79°
models agree
Sat
Clear
102° 80°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
99° 77°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
93° 72°
±10°
Tue
Light rain
84° 71°
±22°
Wed
Cloudy
85° 69°
±15°
Thu
Clear
90° 69°
±10°
Fri
Cloudy
93° 71°
±4°

Abilene, TX is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 102°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 36°F), with roughly 21 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for Abilene right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

Abilene climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
57°
36°
Feb
65°
42°
Mar
71°
49°
Apr
79°
56°
May
86°
66°
Jun
96°
74°
Jul
98°
77°
Aug
102°
80°
Sep
90°
70°
Oct
82°
61°
Nov
68°
49°
Dec
62°
43°

Which forecast is most accurate in Abilene?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
95±0.5°F98±0.7 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
72±2.8°F95±1.5 mph100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°99° to 101°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±2°97° to 99°±9%5% to 14% chance
Mon±2°96° to 98°±21%1% to 22% chance
Tue±1°100° to 101°±4%0% to 4% chance
Wed±2°99° to 101°±8%2% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Abilene

today, local time
Sunrise
07:16
Sunset
19:58
Daylight
12h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Abilene today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for Abilene today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Abilene today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for Abilene and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Abilene?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Abilene (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Abilene?
August is typically the warmest month in Abilene, with average highs around 102°F.
How cold does Abilene get?
The coldest month in Abilene is January, when overnight lows average about 36°F.
How much rain does Abilene get?
Abilene sees roughly 21 in of precipitation a year, with May usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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