Forecast confidence: Medium· models disagree by 3°C
Young weather
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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Young's high today between 25° and 28°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: showers, around 27°, with a 100% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.
Young swings 27°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 2°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 601 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
July
2°C average low
Wettest month
July
601 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and September
Residents
10,000
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The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Young and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Young hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Young 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
27°14°
±3°
Tomorrow
Showers
27°15°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
17°7°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
16°5°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
19°6°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
22°8°
±7°
Fri
Cloudy
23°11°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
22°13°
±2°
Sun
Mostly clear
21°8°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
23°7°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
25°10°
±4°
Wed
Drizzle
25°13°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
23°10°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
27°10°
models agree
Young, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 2°C), with roughly 601 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Young right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
17°
Feb
28°
15°
Mar
25°
13°
Apr
20°
10°
May
16°
6°
Jun
12°
4°
Jul
11°
2°
Aug
12°
2°
Sep
16°
4°
Oct
20°
8°
Nov
24°
11°
Dec
27°
14°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Young's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C
Around Young, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 35°C
1 fewer day a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
4 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−1%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >35°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.4°C
−18
+9
+5%
1996
−1.3°C
−15
−4
+5%
1997
+0.4°C
+9
+13
−2%
1998
+0.1°C
+8
+5
+0%
1999
−0.2°C
−3
−2
−2%
2000
−0.5°C
−6
+1
−2%
2001
+0.1°C
+3
−0
+0%
2002
+0.4°C
+3
+3
+3%
2003
±0.0°C
+8
+3
+3%
2004
±0.0°C
+10
−1
+0%
2005
+0.3°C
−1
+2
+0%
2006
+0.9°C
+19
+1
−2%
2007
+0.7°C
+0
−0
+3%
2008
−0.3°C
−2
+7
+0%
2009
+0.8°C
+18
−8
+7%
2010
−0.7°C
−8
+2
−2%
2011
−0.5°C
−15
−7
−2%
2012
−0.8°C
−12
+1
−5%
2013
+0.6°C
+9
−5
+0%
2014
+0.7°C
+6
−2
−2%
2015
+0.1°C
−8
+8
−5%
2016
+0.2°C
−1
−4
−2%
2017
+0.5°C
+8
+6
+0%
2018
+0.8°C
+7
+3
+3%
2019
+1.1°C
+22
−0
+0%
2020
−0.1°C
+1
−4
+3%
2021
−1.1°C
−15
−1
+0%
2022
−0.7°C
−17
−6
+5%
2023
+0.5°C
−1
−7
−5%
2024
+0.9°C
−10
−6
−5%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Young, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Young?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
G
German ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C
95±2.7 km/h
100100% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European
94
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C
97±1.4 km/h
9597% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
81
/100rank #3
61±2.2°C
92±4.0 km/h
9597% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±3°25° to 28°
±29%3% to 32% chance
Tomorrow
±5°25° to 30°
±10%90% to 100% chance
Mon
±4°16° to 20°
±30%65% to 95% chance
Tue
±4°14° to 19°
±8%0% to 8% chance
Wed
±6°16° to 22°
±3%3% to 6% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Young
today, local time
Sunrise
06:14
Sunset
19:28
Daylight
13h 14m
Common questions
What's the weather in Young today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Young's high today between 25° and 28°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: showers, around 27°, with a 100% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Young today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Young on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 90% (European 100%, American 97%, German 90%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 32%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Young?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Young (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the European at 94. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Young?
January is typically the warmest month in Young, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Young get?
The coldest month in Young is July, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Young get?
Young sees roughly 601 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Young getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Young, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.5°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
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