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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Wembley weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Wembley today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 35% chance of rain.

16°10°
16°8°
19°11°
23°12°
24°14°
25°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Clear
Feels 10° · Wind 21 km/h · Humidity 53%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Clear
Feels 7° · Wind 29 km/h · Humidity 47%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Clear
Feels 10° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 52%

Latest for Wembley: European (ECMWF): 14° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 13° Clear.

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Wembley weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Wembley swings 21°C across the year, from 31°C highs in February to 10°C lows in June, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 778 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
31°C average high
Coldest month
June
10°C average low
Wettest month
June
778 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, July and August
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Wembley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Wembley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Wembley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 8°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
19° 11°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
23° 12°
models agree
Wed
Clear
24° 14°
models agree
Thu
Clear
25° 15°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
22° 15°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
20° 16°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 15°
±2°
Tue
Partly cloudy
19° 16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
20° 16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 15°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
20° 13°
models agree

Wembley, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 31°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 10°C), with roughly 778 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Wembley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Wembley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
18°
Feb
31°
19°
Mar
29°
18°
Apr
25°
15°
May
22°
12°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
17°
10°
Aug
17°
10°
Sep
19°
11°
Oct
22°
12°
Nov
26°
15°
Dec
28°
18°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Wembley has changed since 1995

Wembley sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Perth. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Perth page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Wembley?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
83±0.9°C93±3.5 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C84±8.1 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C96±2.0 km/h5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 17°±48%48% to 96% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 17°±32%3% to 35% chance
Mon±4°17° to 21°±75%17% to 92% chance
Tue±1°23° to 24°±9%0% to 9% chance
Wed±1°24° to 25°±22%6% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Wembley

today, local time
Sunrise
05:27
Sunset
18:35
Daylight
13h 8m

Common questions

What's the weather in Wembley today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Wembley today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 35% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Wembley today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Wembley on Sunday 25 October: European 35%, American 10%, German 3%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 96%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Wembley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Wembley (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Wembley?
February is typically the warmest month in Wembley, with average highs around 31°C.
How cold does Wembley get?
The coldest month in Wembley is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Wembley get?
Wembley sees roughly 778 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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