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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUWarwick
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Warwick weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 29° in Warwick today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 25°, with a 0% chance of rain.

29°14°
25°10°
22°10°
24°
20°12°
21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°Fridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
28°
Partly cloudy
Today 28°·Low 13°·Rain 20%
AmericanNOAA GFS
29°
Cloudy
Today 29°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
30°
Cloudy
Today 30°·Low 14°·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Warwick and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
29° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
25° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
22° 10°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
24°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 12°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
21°
±3°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
21° 10°
±5°
Sun
Partly cloudy
23°
±5°
Mon
Partly cloudy
25°
±3°
Tue
Partly cloudy
28° 10°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
25° 11°
±10°
Thu
Mostly clear
23° 10°
±6°
Fri
Mostly clear
22°
models agree
Sat
Clear
28°
±4°

Warwick is a small town of about 15,000 people in Queensland, sitting at 28.2°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Warwick with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Stanthorpe, Middle Ridge, Kearneys Spring.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Warwick?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.4 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
92
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C95±2.7 km/t9597% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
85
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C95±2.5 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°28° to 30°±20%0% to 20% chance
Tomorrow±1°25° to 26°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°20° to 23°±6%0% to 6% chance
Wed±1°24° to 25°±4%0% to 4% chance
Thu±2°19° to 21°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Warwick

today, local time
Sunrise
06:00
Sunset
17:40
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Warwick today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Warwick today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Warwick today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Warwick and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Warwick?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Warwick (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the German at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather