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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Toongabbie West weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Toongabbie West's high today between 29° and 31°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 33°, with a 84% chance of rain.

30°15°
33°19°
22°16°
24°13°
25°12°
26°12°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Clear
Feels 22° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 83%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Clear
Feels 22° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 65%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Mainly clear
Feels 22° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 71%

Latest for Toongabbie West: European (ECMWF): 20° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 22° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 21° Mainly clear.

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Toongabbie West weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Toongabbie West swings 24°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 5°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 870 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
July
5°C average low
Wettest month
February
870 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Toongabbie West and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Toongabbie West hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Toongabbie West 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
30° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
33° 19°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 16°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
24° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
25° 12°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
26° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
25° 15°
±9°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
28° 16°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 13°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
28° 15°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 15°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
26° 15°
±5°

Toongabbie West, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 5°C), with roughly 870 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Toongabbie West right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Toongabbie West climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
19°
Feb
29°
18°
Mar
26°
15°
Apr
23°
12°
May
19°
8°
Jun
17°
7°
Jul
17°
5°
Aug
17°
5°
Sep
22°
7°
Oct
23°
10°
Nov
25°
14°
Dec
28°
16°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Toongabbie West has changed since 1995

Toongabbie West sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Blacktown. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Blacktown page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Toongabbie West?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C97±1.4 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C97±1.5 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C86±6.8 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°29° to 31°±89%3% to 92% chance
Tomorrow±3°32° to 35°±41%43% to 84% chance
Mon±4°20° to 24°±15%69% to 84% chance
Tue±1°24° to 25°±54%11% to 65% chance
Wed±3°24° to 27°±48%9% to 57% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Toongabbie West

today, local time
Sunrise
06:04
Sunset
19:16
Daylight
13h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Toongabbie West today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Toongabbie West's high today between 29° and 31°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 33°, with a 84% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Toongabbie West today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Toongabbie West on Sunday 25 October: European 67%, American 84%, German 43%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 92%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Toongabbie West?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Toongabbie West (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Toongabbie West?
January is typically the warmest month in Toongabbie West, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Toongabbie West get?
The coldest month in Toongabbie West is July, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Toongabbie West get?
Toongabbie West sees roughly 870 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

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