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Sydney Central Business District weekend weather

This weekend in Sydney Central Business District, New South Wales, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split - so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 29° across the weekend. Agreement is low - the weekend is genuinely up in the air at this range.

Today

2026-09-19 — every model, side by side
EuropeanECMWF
28°
Partly cloudy
High 28°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
30°
Cloudy
High 30°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
30°
Cloudy
High 30°·Low ·Rain 0%

The models range from 28° to 30°. Treat the middle of that range as the likely outcome and keep a backup plan.

Tomorrow

2026-09-20 — every model, side by side
EuropeanECMWF
26°
Clear
High 26°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
32°
Clear
High 32°·Low 16°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
33°
Clear
High 33°·Low 14°·Rain 0%

The models are 7° apart on this day. That is genuine uncertainty — any app showing you a single confident number is hiding it.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°28° to 30°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±7°26° to 33°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±3°28° to 31°±60%3% to 63% chance
Tue±2°15° to 17°±65%5% to 70% chance
Wed±6°16° to 21°±64%15% to 79% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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