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Shellharbour weather

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EuropeanECMWF
24°
Light drizzle
Feels 27° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 70%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Overcast
Feels 22° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 67%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Overcast
Feels 22° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 73%

Latest for Shellharbour: European (ECMWF): 24° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 21° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 22° Overcast.

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Shellharbour weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Shellharbour swings 20°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 6°C lows in August, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1258 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
26°C average high
Coldest month
August
6°C average low
Wettest month
February
1258 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
3,552
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Shellharbour and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Shellharbour hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Shellharbour 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Shellharbour, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 6°C), with roughly 1258 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Shellharbour right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Shellharbour climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
26°
19°
Feb
26°
18°
Mar
23°
14°
Apr
21°
13°
May
19°
11°
Jun
17°
8°
Jul
16°
7°
Aug
17°
6°
Sep
20°
7°
Oct
21°
10°
Nov
22°
14°
Dec
24°
15°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Shellharbour has changed since 1995

Shellharbour sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Wollongong. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Wollongong page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Shellharbour?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
73±1.5°C95±2.3 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
78
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C96±2.1 km/h5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
76
/100rank #3
71±1.6°C92±3.9 km/h7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Shellharbour today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Shellharbour today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Shellharbour today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Shellharbour and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Shellharbour?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Shellharbour (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the German at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Shellharbour?
January is typically the warmest month in Shellharbour, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Shellharbour get?
The coldest month in Shellharbour is August, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Shellharbour get?
Shellharbour sees roughly 1258 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

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