Skip to main content
One weather site to rule them all
checkweather.io
CheckWeather AU›Rochedale South
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Rochedale South weather

Loading live data…

Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 25° in Rochedale South today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 25°, with a 100% chance of rain.

25°18°
25°19°
31°20°
29°19°
27°18°
24°18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light rain
Feels 22° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light drizzle
Feels 21° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 94%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Light rain
Feels 22° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 94%

Latest for Rochedale South: European (ECMWF): 20° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 20° Light rain.

CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.

Rochedale South weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Rochedale South swings 20°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 9°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1086 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
July
9°C average low
Wettest month
February
1086 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
15,000
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Rochedale South and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Rochedale South hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Rochedale South 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
25° 18°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
25° 19°
models agree
Mon
Showers
31° 20°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
29° 19°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
27° 18°
±5°
Thu
Light drizzle
24° 18°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
26° 19°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
30° 19°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
24° 18°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
24° 17°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
28° 17°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 18°
±2°

Rochedale South, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 9°C), with roughly 1086 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Rochedale South right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Rochedale South climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
21°
Feb
28°
20°
Mar
27°
19°
Apr
25°
15°
May
22°
12°
Jun
22°
10°
Jul
20°
9°
Aug
21°
10°
Sep
24°
12°
Oct
25°
15°
Nov
26°
18°
Dec
28°
20°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Rochedale South has changed since 1995

Rochedale South sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Brisbane. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Brisbane page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Rochedale South?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
82
/100rank #1
79±1.2°C96±2.2 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
75
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C97±1.7 km/h5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
69
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C92±3.9 km/h4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
GermanDWD ICON
Loading ratings…

One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree25° to 25°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°24° to 26°±12%88% to 100% chance
Mon±2°30° to 32°±12%59% to 71% chance
Tue±2°29° to 30°±25%15% to 40% chance
Wed±5°25° to 29°±22%23% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rochedale South

today, local time
Sunrise
05:03
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rochedale South today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 25° in Rochedale South today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 25°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Rochedale South today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Rochedale South on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 88% (European 100%, American 94%, German 88%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rochedale South?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rochedale South (CheckWeather Score 82/100), ahead of the German at 75. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rochedale South?
January is typically the warmest month in Rochedale South, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Rochedale South get?
The coldest month in Rochedale South is July, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Rochedale South get?
Rochedale South sees roughly 1086 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather