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CheckWeather AURochedale South
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Rochedale South weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Rochedale South's high today between 32° and 35°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 25°, with a 3% chance of rain.

34°17°
25°14°
23°14°
24°12°
21°15°
22°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
32°
Cloudy
Today 32°·Low 17°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
35°
Cloudy
Today 35°·Low 18°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
34°
Fog
Today 34°·Low 17°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Rochedale South and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
34° 17°
±3°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
25° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
24° 12°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
22° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±2°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 13°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
27° 14°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
25° 15°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 13°
models agree
Sat
Clear
26° 12°
±5°

Rochedale South is a small town of about 15,000 people in Queensland, sitting at 27.6°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Rochedale South with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Underwood, Springwood, Eight Mile Plains.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Rochedale South?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C95±2.4 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
81
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±1.8 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C95±2.7 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°32° to 35°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±1°24° to 25°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±1°23° to 24°±44%8% to 52% chance
Wed±3°23° to 26°±11%1% to 12% chance
Thu±2°21° to 23°±36%9% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rochedale South

today, local time
Sunrise
05:56
Sunset
17:36
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rochedale South today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Rochedale South today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Rochedale South today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Rochedale South and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rochedale South?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rochedale South (CheckWeather Score 88/100), ahead of the German at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather