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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Rivervale weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Rivervale's high today between 16° and 18°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 19°, with a 29% chance of rain.

17°8°
19°7°
21°10°
26°12°
28°14°
29°15°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Clear
Feels 8° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 57%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Clear
Feels 8° · Wind 20 km/h · Humidity 40%
GermanDWD ICON
13°
Clear
Feels 10° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 53%

Latest for Rivervale: European (ECMWF): 12° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 13° Clear.

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Rivervale weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Rivervale swings 24°C across the year, from 33°C highs in February to 9°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 768 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
33°C average high
Coldest month
July
9°C average low
Wettest month
June
768 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, July and August
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Rivervale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Rivervale hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Rivervale 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17° 8°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
19° 7°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
21° 10°
±4°
Tue
Clear
26° 12°
models agree
Wed
Clear
28° 14°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
29° 15°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
25° 14°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
26° 14°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
22° 15°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
24° 13°
models agree

Rivervale, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 33°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 9°C), with roughly 768 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Rivervale right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Rivervale climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
32°
18°
Feb
33°
19°
Mar
30°
18°
Apr
25°
15°
May
22°
12°
Jun
17°
10°
Jul
17°
9°
Aug
18°
9°
Sep
20°
10°
Oct
24°
12°
Nov
28°
15°
Dec
31°
18°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Rivervale has changed since 1995

Rivervale sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Perth. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Perth page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Rivervale?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C96±1.8 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
88
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C88±5.9 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
83
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C97±1.5 km/h7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±43%39% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±1°19° to 19°±26%3% to 29% chance
Mon±4°19° to 23°±67%13% to 80% chance
Tue±2°25° to 27°±9%0% to 9% chance
Wed±1°27° to 28°±24%4% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Rivervale

today, local time
Sunrise
05:26
Sunset
18:34
Daylight
13h 8m

Common questions

What's the weather in Rivervale today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Rivervale's high today between 16° and 18°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 19°, with a 29% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Rivervale today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Rivervale on Sunday 25 October: European 29%, American 3%, German 3%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 82%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Rivervale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Rivervale (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Rivervale?
February is typically the warmest month in Rivervale, with average highs around 33°C.
How cold does Rivervale get?
The coldest month in Rivervale is July, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Rivervale get?
Rivervale sees roughly 768 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

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