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Port Macquarie weekend weather

This weekend in Port Macquarie, New South Wales, model by model. Weekend forecasts are far enough out that the models often split - so we show you where.

Weekend

The models centre on about 28° across the weekend. Agreement is medium - plausible, but worth re-checking closer to the day.

Today

2026-09-19 — every model, side by side
EuropeanECMWF
28°
Partly cloudy
High 28°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
28°
Cloudy
High 28°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
28°
Fog
High 28°·Low ·Rain 0%

All 3 models land within under a degree of each other for this day — that is a forecast you can plan on.

Tomorrow

2026-09-20 — every model, side by side
EuropeanECMWF
29°
Clear
High 29°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
28°
Clear
High 28°·Low 11°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
30°
Clear
High 30°·Low ·Rain 0%

The models range from 28° to 30°. Treat the middle of that range as the likely outcome and keep a backup plan.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree28° to 28°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°28° to 30°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±1°32° to 33°±26%5% to 31% chance
Tue±1°18° to 20°±39%38% to 77% chance
Wed±5°17° to 22°±44%37% to 81% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Common questions

Will it rain this weekend?
The models are not currently showing a high weekend rain risk, and they broadly agree with each other.
How reliable is a weekend forecast?
It depends how far away the weekend is. Forecast error grows steadily with lead time, so a Saturday forecast made on Friday is far stronger than one made the previous Monday. The honest signal is model agreement: when they converge the forecast is solid, and when they spread the weekend is genuinely uncertain.

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