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CheckWeather AUPalmyra
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Palmyra weather

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Light drizzle,warmer tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 18° in Palmyra today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 22°, with a 0% chance of rain.

18°12°
22°11°
21°13°
21°11°
23°14°
23°16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 84%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 94%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Showers
Today 18°·Low 13°·Rain 75%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Palmyra and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
22° 11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
21° 13°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
21° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 16°
±4°
Sat
Drizzle
19° 15°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
20° 12°
±3°
Tue
Clear
22° 12°
±4°
Wed
Partly cloudy
22° 14°
±7°
Thu
Light rain
19° 12°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
17° 12°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
18° 13°
models agree

Palmyra, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 11°C), with roughly 607 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Palmyra right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Palmyra climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
19°
Feb
30°
20°
Mar
28°
18°
Apr
24°
15°
May
22°
14°
Jun
17°
11°
Jul
17°
11°
Aug
18°
11°
Sep
20°
12°
Oct
23°
14°
Nov
26°
16°
Dec
28°
19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Palmyra?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
85±0.9°C88±6.1 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C86±7.1 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
76
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C88±5.8 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree18° to 18°±19%75% to 94% chance
Tomorrow±1°21° to 22°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°20° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°20° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Thu±1°22° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Palmyra

today, local time
Sunrise
06:26
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
11h 36m

Common questions

What's the weather in Palmyra today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Palmyra today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Palmyra today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Palmyra and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Palmyra?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Palmyra (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Palmyra?
February is typically the warmest month in Palmyra, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Palmyra get?
The coldest month in Palmyra is June, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Palmyra get?
Palmyra sees roughly 607 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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