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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Ormeau weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Ormeau today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain.

24°18°
24°19°
31°20°
28°18°
27°18°
24°18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light rain
Feels 22° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Drizzle
Feels 21° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 97%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Light rain
Feels 22° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 93%

Latest for Ormeau: European (ECMWF): 20° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 20° Light rain.

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Ormeau weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Ormeau swings 20°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 9°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1228 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
June
9°C average low
Wettest month
February
1228 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
14,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Ormeau and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ormeau hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ormeau 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
24° 18°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
24° 19°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
31° 20°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
28° 18°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
27° 18°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
24° 18°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
26° 18°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
30° 17°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 16°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 17°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
29° 17°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 18°
±3°

Ormeau, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 9°C), with roughly 1228 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Ormeau right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Ormeau climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
21°
Feb
28°
19°
Mar
27°
19°
Apr
24°
15°
May
22°
12°
Jun
20°
9°
Jul
19°
9°
Aug
20°
10°
Sep
24°
13°
Oct
25°
15°
Nov
26°
17°
Dec
29°
19°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Ormeau has changed since 1995

Ormeau sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Gold Coast. That square ran 0.6°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Gold Coast page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ormeau?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±0.8 km/h7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #2
88±0.7°C97±1.6 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
69
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C94±2.9 km/h4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°23° to 25°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°24° to 25°±9%91% to 100% chance
Mon±2°30° to 32°±11%58% to 69% chance
Tue±2°27° to 29°±44%13% to 57% chance
Wed±4°24° to 29°±30%18% to 48% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ormeau

today, local time
Sunrise
05:02
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ormeau today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Ormeau today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Ormeau today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Ormeau on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 91% (European 100%, American 91%, German 95%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ormeau?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ormeau (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the German at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ormeau?
January is typically the warmest month in Ormeau, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Ormeau get?
The coldest month in Ormeau is June, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Ormeau get?
Ormeau sees roughly 1228 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather