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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUOatley
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Oatley weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 23° in Oatley today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 23°, with a 65% chance of rain.

23°14°
23°11°
17°11°
18°
17°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Cloudy
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Clear
Today 23°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Oatley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
23° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
20°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20° 10°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
25°
models agree
Mon
Clear
30° 12°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
21° 13°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
21° 10°
±7°
Thu
Mostly clear
19°
±5°
Fri
Clear
28°
±5°
Sat
Clear
27° 14°
±4°

Oatley, New South Wales is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 8°C), with roughly 889 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Oatley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Oatley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
19°
Feb
26°
19°
Mar
26°
18°
Apr
22°
14°
May
19°
11°
Jun
17°
Jul
18°
Aug
20°
Sep
23°
10°
Oct
23°
12°
Nov
24°
17°
Dec
27°
18°

Which forecast is most accurate in Oatley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
88±0.6°C94±3.1 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
83±1.0°C96±2.1 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
84
/100rank #3
83±1.0°C96±2.1 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±2°21° to 23°±25%40% to 65% chance
Tue±2°17° to 18°±24%14% to 38% chance
Wed±1°17° to 18°±38%3% to 41% chance
Thu±1°16° to 18°±12%0% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Oatley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:08
Sunset
17:40
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Oatley today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Oatley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Oatley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Oatley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Oatley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Oatley (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Oatley?
December is typically the warmest month in Oatley, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Oatley get?
The coldest month in Oatley is June, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Oatley get?
Oatley sees roughly 889 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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