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CheckWeather AUOakleigh South
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Oakleigh South weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Oakleigh South today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 92% chance of rain.

16°11°
14°
14°
13°
14°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Drizzle
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 75%
GermanDWD ICON
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Oakleigh South and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
16°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
±2°
Sun
Light rain
21° 12°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
15°
±5°
Wed
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
±9°

Oakleigh South is a small town of about 9,851 people in Victoria, sitting at 37.9°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Oakleigh South with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Clarinda, Clayton, Clayton South.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Oakleigh South?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C95±2.4 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
83
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C93±3.5 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
82
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C97±1.7 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±93%5% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±1°14° to 14°±79%13% to 92% chance
Tue±2°13° to 15°±10%0% to 10% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±35%38% to 73% chance
Thu±1°13° to 14°±12%0% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Oakleigh South

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Oakleigh South today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Oakleigh South today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Oakleigh South today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Oakleigh South and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Oakleigh South?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Oakleigh South (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the German at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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