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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Nowra weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Nowra today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 22°, with a 84% chance of rain.

22°13°
22°10°
18°
16°
17°
21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Clear
Feels 19° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 44%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Clear
Feels 20° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 35%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Mainly clear
Feels 17° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 51%

Latest for Nowra: European (ECMWF): 21° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 21° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 19° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Nowra and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
22° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
22° 10°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
18°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
21°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
21°
±4°
Sun
Cloudy
26°
models agree
Mon
Clear
28° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 10°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
21°
±8°
Thu
Clear
18°
±5°
Fri
Clear
24°
±9°
Sat
Light drizzle
28° 13°
±5°

Nowra is a small town of about 9,598 people in New South Wales, sitting at 34.9°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Nowra with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include North Nowra, Bomaderry, Sanctuary Point.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Nowra?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
90±0.6°C95±2.4 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
87
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C91±4.4 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
69±1.7°C89±5.7 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 23°±9%1% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±3°21° to 24°±26%58% to 84% chance
Tue±2°17° to 19°±20%0% to 20% chance
Wedmodels agree15° to 16°±27%7% to 34% chance
Thu±1°17° to 18°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Nowra

today, local time
Sunrise
06:10
Sunset
17:42
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Nowra today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Nowra today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Nowra today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Nowra and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Nowra?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Nowra (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the German at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather