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CheckWeather AUMurwillumbah
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Murwillumbah weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Murwillumbah's high today between 30° and 34°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 25°, with a 8% chance of rain.

33°16°
25°13°
21°13°
23°12°
19°13°
21°12°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±2°Fridaysplit ±2°
EuropeanECMWF
30°
Cloudy
Today 30°·Low 17°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
34°
Cloudy
Today 34°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
33°
Partly cloudy
Today 33°·Low 16°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Murwillumbah and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
33° 16°
±4°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
25° 13°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 12°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
19° 13°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 12°
±2°
Sat
Drizzle
21° 12°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 11°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
23° 12°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
27° 14°
±6°
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 14°
±11°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Sat
Clear
25° 12°
±6°

Murwillumbah, New South Wales is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 1336 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Murwillumbah right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Murwillumbah climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
28°
19°
Feb
29°
19°
Mar
27°
18°
Apr
25°
15°
May
21°
11°
Jun
21°
Jul
20°
Aug
23°
10°
Sep
25°
11°
Oct
26°
14°
Nov
27°
17°
Dec
30°
19°

Which forecast is most accurate in Murwillumbah?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C91±4.3 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
81±1.0°C95±2.5 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
69
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C97±1.4 km/t3665% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°30° to 34°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 26°±5%3% to 8% chance
Tue±2°20° to 21°±64%8% to 72% chance
Wed±4°21° to 25°±47%4% to 51% chance
Thu±2°19° to 21°±63%23% to 86% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Murwillumbah

today, local time
Sunrise
05:54
Sunset
17:34
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Murwillumbah today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Murwillumbah today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Murwillumbah today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Murwillumbah and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Murwillumbah?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Murwillumbah (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Murwillumbah?
December is typically the warmest month in Murwillumbah, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Murwillumbah get?
The coldest month in Murwillumbah is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Murwillumbah get?
Murwillumbah sees roughly 1336 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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