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CheckWeather AUMount Waverley
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Mount Waverley weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Mount Waverley today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 92% chance of rain.

16°11°
14°
14°
12°
13°
15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Light drizzle
Feels 9° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 72%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Light drizzle
Feels 9° · Wind 22 km/h · Humidity 68%
GermanDWD ICON
12°
Partly cloudy
Feels 10° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 78%

Latest for Mount Waverley: European (ECMWF): 12° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 12° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mount Waverley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
15°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
±2°
Sun
Light rain
21° 11°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
14°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Partly cloudy
20° 10°
±9°

Mount Waverley, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 6°C), with roughly 953 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mount Waverley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Mount Waverley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
14°
Feb
25°
14°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
18°
10°
May
16°
Jun
13°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
Nov
22°
12°
Dec
25°
13°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mount Waverley?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C96±2.2 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C95±2.7 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C97±1.5 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°±50%48% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±57%35% to 92% chance
Tue±2°13° to 15°±10%0% to 10% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±10%63% to 73% chance
Thu±1°13° to 14°±10%2% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mount Waverley

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mount Waverley today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mount Waverley today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mount Waverley today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mount Waverley and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mount Waverley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mount Waverley (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mount Waverley?
January is typically the warmest month in Mount Waverley, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Mount Waverley get?
The coldest month in Mount Waverley is June, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Mount Waverley get?
Mount Waverley sees roughly 953 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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