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Mitchelton weather

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EuropeanECMWF
20°
Rain
Feels 21° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Overcast
Feels 20° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 97%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Rain
Feels 22° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 95%

Latest for Mitchelton: European (ECMWF): 20° Rain · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 20° Rain.

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Mitchelton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mitchelton swings 19°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 10°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1100 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
July
10°C average low
Wettest month
February
1100 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
8,387
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mitchelton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mitchelton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mitchelton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Mitchelton, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 10°C), with roughly 1100 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mitchelton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Mitchelton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
20°
Feb
28°
19°
Mar
27°
19°
Apr
24°
16°
May
22°
13°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
20°
10°
Aug
22°
11°
Sep
24°
12°
Oct
26°
15°
Nov
26°
17°
Dec
29°
19°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Mitchelton has changed since 1995

Mitchelton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Brisbane. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Brisbane page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mitchelton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C98±0.9 km/h6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
69
/100rank #2
74±1.5°C90±4.9 km/h4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
62
/100rank #3
64±2.0°C94±3.1 km/h3665% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Mitchelton today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mitchelton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mitchelton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mitchelton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mitchelton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mitchelton (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 69. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mitchelton?
January is typically the warmest month in Mitchelton, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Mitchelton get?
The coldest month in Mitchelton is July, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Mitchelton get?
Mitchelton sees roughly 1100 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

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