Merimbula swings 18°C across the year, from 24°C highs in February to 6°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 772 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
February
24°C average high
Coldest month
July
6°C average low
Wettest month
February
772 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
3,973
share this forecast
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Merimbula and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…
Merimbula hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
Loading the three models…
Merimbula 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Merimbula, New South Wales is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 24°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 6°C), with roughly 772 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Merimbula right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
23°
17°
Feb
24°
16°
Mar
22°
15°
Apr
20°
12°
May
17°
10°
Jun
16°
8°
Jul
15°
6°
Aug
16°
6°
Sep
18°
7°
Oct
19°
10°
Nov
20°
13°
Dec
21°
15°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Merimbula's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.3°C
Around Merimbula, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 25°C
2 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−3%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >25°C vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.1°C
−14
+2%
1996
−1.2°C
−20
−3%
1997
−0.3°C
+0
−0%
1998
+0.2°C
+17
+2%
1999
+0.2°C
−4
+2%
2000
+0.1°C
+8
−0%
2001
+0.3°C
+1
+2%
2002
±0.0°C
−10
+2%
2003
±0.0°C
+0
+5%
2004
−0.1°C
+5
+2%
2005
+0.3°C
+3
−3%
2006
−0.2°C
+9
+2%
2007
+0.2°C
+10
+2%
2008
−0.4°C
−4
+2%
2009
+0.3°C
+14
−0%
2010
±0.0°C
+0
−0%
2011
−0.1°C
−3
−0%
2012
−0.7°C
−10
−0%
2013
+0.2°C
+1
−3%
2014
+0.4°C
−3
−0%
2015
±0.0°C
+0
−0%
2016
+0.5°C
+14
−3%
2017
+0.4°C
+8
−0%
2018
+0.3°C
+14
−0%
2019
+0.6°C
+16
−3%
2020
−0.1°C
−7
−0%
2021
−0.7°C
−17
−0%
2022
−0.4°C
−25
−0%
2023
+0.4°C
−8
−3%
2024
+0.5°C
+0
−3%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Merimbula, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Merimbula?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
G
German ★ Best
85
/100rank #1
77±1.3°C
92±4.2 km/h
8994% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American
82
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C
94±2.8 km/h
7184% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European
69
/100rank #3
61±2.2°C
86±7.2 km/h
6581% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
GermanDWD ICON
Loading ratings…
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Common questions
What's the weather in Merimbula today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Merimbula today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Merimbula today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Merimbula and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Merimbula?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Merimbula (CheckWeather Score 85/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Merimbula?
February is typically the warmest month in Merimbula, with average highs around 24°C.
How cold does Merimbula get?
The coldest month in Merimbula is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Merimbula get?
Merimbula sees roughly 772 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Merimbula getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Merimbula, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.
