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CheckWeather AUMcDowall
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

McDowall weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put McDowall's high today between 31° and 34°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 23°, with a 3% chance of rain.

32°17°
23°16°
23°16°
23°13°
21°15°
21°14°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
24°
Clear
Feels 25° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 43%
AmericanNOAA GFS
23°
Mainly clear
Feels 22° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 49%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Partly cloudy
Feels 22° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 55%

Latest for McDowall: European (ECMWF): 24° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 23° Mainly clear · German (DWD ICON): 22° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around McDowall and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
32° 17°
±4°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
23° 16°
±2°
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Thu
Showers
21° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
21° 14°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
25° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
25° 15°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Sat
Clear
25° 13°
±4°

McDowall, Queensland is at its warmest in Dec (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 11°C), with roughly 1241 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for McDowall right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

McDowall climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
20°
Feb
29°
20°
Mar
28°
20°
Apr
25°
17°
May
22°
13°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
21°
11°
Aug
24°
13°
Sep
25°
13°
Oct
27°
16°
Nov
27°
18°
Dec
30°
20°

Which forecast is most accurate in McDowall?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
81
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±1.2 km/t5374% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
78
/100rank #2
84±0.9°C96±1.9 km/t5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
72
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C91±4.5 km/t4268% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°31° to 34°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±2°22° to 24°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±1°22° to 23°±44%8% to 52% chance
Wed±2°21° to 23°±11%1% to 12% chance
Thu±2°20° to 22°±36%9% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in McDowall

today, local time
Sunrise
05:56
Sunset
17:36
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in McDowall today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for McDowall today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in McDowall today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for McDowall and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for McDowall?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for McDowall (CheckWeather Score 81/100), ahead of the German at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in McDowall?
December is typically the warmest month in McDowall, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does McDowall get?
The coldest month in McDowall is June, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does McDowall get?
McDowall sees roughly 1241 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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