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CheckWeather AUMawson Lakes
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Mawson Lakes weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Mawson Lakes today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 18°, with a 4% chance of rain.

16°10°
18°10°
17°
15°
18°
21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Partly cloudy
Feels 13° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Clear
Feels 13° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 58%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Mainly clear
Feels 12° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 67%

Latest for Mawson Lakes: European (ECMWF): 15° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 14° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mawson Lakes and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
18° 10°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Thu
Clear
18°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
21°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
23° 13°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Clear
19°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
22° 10°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 13°
±9°
Sat
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
±5°

Mawson Lakes is a small town of about 13,000 people in South Australia, sitting at 34.8°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Mawson Lakes with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Pooraka, Ingle Farm, Parafield Gardens.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mawson Lakes?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C96±2.1 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
85
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C96±2.1 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #3
90±0.5°C97±1.7 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°±71%0% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 18°±1%3% to 4% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±10%0% to 10% chance
Wed±2°14° to 16°±8%0% to 8% chance
Thu±2°17° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mawson Lakes

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mawson Lakes today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mawson Lakes today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mawson Lakes today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mawson Lakes and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mawson Lakes?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Mawson Lakes (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the European at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather