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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Mawson Lakes weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 27° in Mawson Lakes today. Tomorrow: rain, around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

27°15°
16°10°
16°9°
20°9°
21°10°
22°12°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
27°
Light rain
Today 27°·Low 15°·Rain 93%
AmericanNOAA GFS
26°
Showers
Today 26°·Low 14°·Rain 87%
GermanDWD ICON
27°
Thunderstorm
Today 27°·Low 14°·Rain 95%
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Mawson Lakes weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mawson Lakes swings 22°C across the year, from 29°C highs in February to 7°C lows in August, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 590 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
29°C average high
Coldest month
August
7°C average low
Wettest month
June
590 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and September
Residents
13,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mawson Lakes and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mawson Lakes hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mawson Lakes 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
27° 15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
16° 10°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 9°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 9°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
21° 10°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 12°
±5°
Fri
Light rain
18° 15°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
23° 11°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
26° 13°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
20° 13°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
26° 13°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
29° 15°
±7°

Mawson Lakes, South Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 7°C), with roughly 590 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mawson Lakes right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Mawson Lakes climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
16°
Feb
29°
16°
Mar
26°
15°
Apr
22°
13°
May
18°
9°
Jun
14°
8°
Jul
15°
8°
Aug
15°
7°
Sep
18°
7°
Oct
21°
10°
Nov
23°
12°
Dec
25°
14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Mawson Lakes has changed since 1995

Mawson Lakes sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Adelaide. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Adelaide page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mawson Lakes?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
81±1.1°C94±3.2 km/h9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
87
/100rank #2
87±0.7°C95±2.6 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
86
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C95±2.5 km/h8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°26° to 27°±8%87% to 95% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±3°14° to 18°±24%8% to 32% chance
Tue±2°18° to 21°±1%14% to 15% chance
Wed±5°19° to 24°±3%3% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mawson Lakes

today, local time
Sunrise
06:22
Sunset
19:36
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mawson Lakes today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 27° in Mawson Lakes today. Tomorrow: rain, around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Mawson Lakes today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Mawson Lakes on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (European 100%, American 100%, German 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 95%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mawson Lakes?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Mawson Lakes (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mawson Lakes?
February is typically the warmest month in Mawson Lakes, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Mawson Lakes get?
The coldest month in Mawson Lakes is August, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Mawson Lakes get?
Mawson Lakes sees roughly 590 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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