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Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 5°C

Matraville weather

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Mostly clear,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Matraville's high today between 24° and 29°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: showers, around 32°, with a 90% chance of rain.

27°17°
32°19°
22°15°
21°13°
23°12°
23°13°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Mondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Clear
Feels 21° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 93%
AmericanNOAA GFS
21°
Overcast
Feels 23° · Wind 5 km/h · Humidity 83%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Mainly clear
Feels 21° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 79%

Latest for Matraville: European (ECMWF): 20° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 21° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 20° Mainly clear.

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Matraville weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Matraville swings 19°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 7°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1108 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
26°C average high
Coldest month
July
7°C average low
Wettest month
February
1108 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, March, April and May
Residents
9,768
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Matraville and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Matraville hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Matraville 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
27° 17°
±5°
Tomorrow
Showers
32° 19°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 12°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
22° 15°
±3°
Sat
Showers
28° 17°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
21° 16°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
29° 16°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 17°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
22° 15°
±2°

Matraville, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 7°C), with roughly 1108 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Matraville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Matraville climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
26°
19°
Feb
25°
18°
Mar
25°
16°
Apr
22°
14°
May
19°
10°
Jun
17°
8°
Jul
17°
7°
Aug
17°
7°
Sep
21°
8°
Oct
22°
11°
Nov
23°
16°
Dec
26°
18°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Matraville has changed since 1995

Matraville sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sydney. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Sydney page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Matraville?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C96±2.2 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
78
/100rank #2
83±0.9°C96±2.1 km/h5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
66±1.9°C87±6.7 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°24° to 29°±16%0% to 16% chance
Tomorrow±4°30° to 34°±50%40% to 90% chance
Mon±1°22° to 22°±14%73% to 87% chance
Tuemodels agree21° to 21°±64%13% to 77% chance
Wed±5°20° to 25°±68%9% to 77% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Matraville

today, local time
Sunrise
06:03
Sunset
19:15
Daylight
13h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Matraville today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Matraville's high today between 24° and 29°, a 5° split. Tomorrow: showers, around 32°, with a 90% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Matraville today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Matraville on Sunday 25 October: European 78%, American 90%, German 40%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 16%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Matraville?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Matraville (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Matraville?
January is typically the warmest month in Matraville, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Matraville get?
The coldest month in Matraville is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Matraville get?
Matraville sees roughly 1108 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

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