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Manor Lakes weather

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EuropeanECMWF
18°
Light rain
Feels 16° · Wind 21 km/h · Humidity 66%
AmericanNOAA GFS
12°
Light showers
Feels 8° · Wind 29 km/h · Humidity 89%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Thunderstorm
Feels 17° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 70%

Latest for Manor Lakes: European (ECMWF): 18° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 12° Light showers · German (DWD ICON): 19° Thunderstorm.

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Manor Lakes weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Manor Lakes swings 19°C across the year, from 25°C highs in February to 6°C lows in July, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 498 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
25°C average high
Coldest month
July
6°C average low
Wettest month
November
498 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Manor Lakes and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Manor Lakes hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Manor Lakes 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Manor Lakes, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 6°C), with roughly 498 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Manor Lakes right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Manor Lakes climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
24°
15°
Feb
25°
14°
Mar
24°
14°
Apr
19°
11°
May
16°
8°
Jun
14°
7°
Jul
13°
6°
Aug
14°
6°
Sep
16°
6°
Oct
19°
8°
Nov
21°
11°
Dec
23°
13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Manor Lakes has changed since 1995

Manor Lakes sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Geelong. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Geelong page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Australia?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
88
/100rank #1
88±0.7°C95±2.3 km/h8491% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
79
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C95±2.4 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C91±4.3 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Manor Lakes today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Manor Lakes today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Manor Lakes today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Manor Lakes and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Manor Lakes?
No single model is always right. European, American, German each run their own physics, so we line all three up: when they agree the Manor Lakes forecast is reliable, and when they split you should expect surprises. See our tested AU accuracy scoreboard for how the models compare.
What is the warmest month in Manor Lakes?
February is typically the warmest month in Manor Lakes, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Manor Lakes get?
The coldest month in Manor Lakes is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Manor Lakes get?
Manor Lakes sees roughly 498 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

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