Cloudy,much the same tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Lavington today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 14% chance of rain.
Lavington is a small town of about 12,000 people in New South Wales, sitting at 36.0°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Lavington with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include North Albury, Albury, East Albury.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.