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CheckWeather AU›Ingleburn
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Ingleburn weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Ingleburn's high today between 28° and 30°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 33°, with a 94% chance of rain.

29°15°
33°17°
22°14°
23°11°
25°9°
26°10°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±5°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Clear
Feels 21° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Mainly clear
Feels 20° · Wind 2 km/h · Humidity 79%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Mainly clear
Feels 20° · Wind 4 km/h · Humidity 77%

Latest for Ingleburn: European (ECMWF): 18° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 18° Mainly clear · German (DWD ICON): 19° Mainly clear.

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Ingleburn weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Ingleburn swings 23°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 5°C lows in August, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 843 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
August
5°C average low
Wettest month
February
843 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
15,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Ingleburn and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Ingleburn hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Ingleburn 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
29° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
33° 17°
±3°
Mon
Cloudy
22° 14°
±5°
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 11°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
25° 9°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
26° 10°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
25° 13°
±9°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
27° 16°
±2°
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
30° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±8°
Fri
Cloudy
26° 14°
±5°

Ingleburn, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 5°C), with roughly 843 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Ingleburn right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Ingleburn climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
19°
Feb
28°
18°
Mar
25°
15°
Apr
22°
13°
May
19°
9°
Jun
17°
7°
Jul
16°
6°
Aug
17°
5°
Sep
21°
7°
Oct
23°
9°
Nov
24°
14°
Dec
27°
16°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Ingleburn has changed since 1995

Ingleburn sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Blacktown. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Blacktown page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Ingleburn?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
92±0.4°C95±2.7 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C97±1.4 km/h7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
71
/100rank #3
69±1.7°C94±3.2 km/h5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°28° to 30°±5%3% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±3°31° to 34°±46%48% to 94% chance
Mon±5°19° to 24°±31%54% to 85% chance
Tue±2°22° to 24°±33%15% to 48% chance
Wed±4°23° to 27°±29%9% to 38% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Ingleburn

today, local time
Sunrise
06:05
Sunset
19:17
Daylight
13h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Ingleburn today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Ingleburn's high today between 28° and 30°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 33°, with a 94% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Ingleburn today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Ingleburn on Sunday 25 October: European 66%, American 94%, German 48%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 8%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Ingleburn?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Ingleburn (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Ingleburn?
January is typically the warmest month in Ingleburn, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Ingleburn get?
The coldest month in Ingleburn is August, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Ingleburn get?
Ingleburn sees roughly 843 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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