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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Gawler weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Gawler's high today between 26° and 30°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: showers, around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain.

28°14°
17°8°
16°6°
20°7°
22°7°
22°11°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 20° · Wind 0 km/h · Humidity 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Light drizzle
Feels 14° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 95%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Light showers
Feels 19° · Wind 3 km/h · Humidity 93%

Latest for Gawler: European (ECMWF): 18° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 15° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 18° Light showers.

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Gawler weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Gawler swings 22°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 7°C lows in June, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 501 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
June
7°C average low
Wettest month
June
501 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and September
Residents
20,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Gawler and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Gawler hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Gawler 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
28° 14°
±4°
Tomorrow
Showers
17° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 6°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
20° 7°
models agree
Wed
Mostly clear
22° 7°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
22° 11°
±5°
Fri
Rain
18° 14°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±3°
Sun
Partly cloudy
23° 10°
±4°
Mon
Drizzle
26° 12°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
20° 12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
25° 11°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
29° 15°
±6°

Gawler, South Australia is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 501 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Gawler right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Gawler climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
15°
Feb
29°
15°
Mar
25°
13°
Apr
22°
12°
May
18°
9°
Jun
14°
7°
Jul
14°
7°
Aug
15°
7°
Sep
18°
7°
Oct
21°
10°
Nov
24°
12°
Dec
27°
14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Gawler's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.9°C

Around Gawler, 2015-2024 averaged 0.9°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.

1995: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.1°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average1998: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average1999: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2000: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2005: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2015: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2018: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2019: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2020: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2021: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2024: +1.1°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 35°C

7 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −10 vs the 30-year average1996: −12 vs the 30-year average1997: −6 vs the 30-year average1998: −6 vs the 30-year average1999: −1 vs the 30-year average2000: +7 vs the 30-year average2001: +5 vs the 30-year average2002: −9 vs the 30-year average2003: +0 vs the 30-year average2004: −1 vs the 30-year average2005: −9 vs the 30-year average2006: +7 vs the 30-year average2007: +3 vs the 30-year average2008: −2 vs the 30-year average2009: +11 vs the 30-year average2010: −8 vs the 30-year average2011: −14 vs the 30-year average2012: +0 vs the 30-year average2013: +3 vs the 30-year average2014: +4 vs the 30-year average2015: +9 vs the 30-year average2016: +4 vs the 30-year average2017: +13 vs the 30-year average2018: +17 vs the 30-year average2019: +17 vs the 30-year average2020: −6 vs the 30-year average2021: −12 vs the 30-year average2022: −10 vs the 30-year average2023: −3 vs the 30-year average2024: +6 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +4% vs the 30-year average1996: +6% vs the 30-year average1997: −8% vs the 30-year average1998: −3% vs the 30-year average1999: −3% vs the 30-year average2000: −1% vs the 30-year average2001: −1% vs the 30-year average2002: +6% vs the 30-year average2003: +4% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: +2% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: +4% vs the 30-year average2008: +2% vs the 30-year average2009: +2% vs the 30-year average2010: −5% vs the 30-year average2011: −5% vs the 30-year average2012: −1% vs the 30-year average2013: +2% vs the 30-year average2014: −3% vs the 30-year average2015: −5% vs the 30-year average2016: +4% vs the 30-year average2017: −1% vs the 30-year average2018: +4% vs the 30-year average2019: +2% vs the 30-year average2020: +2% vs the 30-year average2021: −1% vs the 30-year average2022: −1% vs the 30-year average2023: −1% vs the 30-year average2024: −3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >35°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.9°C−10+4%
1996−1.1°C−12+6%
1997−0.4°C−6−8%
1998−0.5°C−6−3%
1999±0.0°C−1−3%
2000+0.1°C+7−1%
2001−0.3°C+5−1%
2002−0.2°C−9+6%
2003−0.5°C+0+4%
2004−0.4°C−1−1%
2005−0.2°C−9+2%
2006−0.2°C+7−1%
2007+0.3°C+3+4%
2008−0.2°C−2+2%
2009+0.6°C+11+2%
2010−0.2°C−8−5%
2011−0.1°C−14−5%
2012−0.1°C+0−1%
2013+0.5°C+3+2%
2014+0.5°C+4−3%
2015+0.4°C+9−5%
2016+0.2°C+4+4%
2017+0.9°C+13−1%
2018+1.0°C+17+4%
2019+1.0°C+17+2%
2020−0.4°C−6+2%
2021−0.2°C−12−1%
2022−0.2°C−10−1%
2023+0.5°C−3−1%
2024+1.1°C+6−3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Gawler, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Gawler?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C97±1.7 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
77±1.3°C91±4.4 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
80
/100rank #3
76±1.4°C93±3.5 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°26° to 30°±5%90% to 95% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 18°±2%98% to 100% chance
Mon±3°14° to 18°±22%15% to 37% chance
Tue±2°19° to 21°±6%13% to 19% chance
Wed±3°20° to 24°±7%3% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Gawler

today, local time
Sunrise
06:22
Sunset
19:36
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Gawler today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Gawler's high today between 26° and 30°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: showers, around 17°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Gawler today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Gawler on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 98% (European 100%, American 100%, German 98%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 95%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gawler?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Gawler (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Gawler?
January is typically the warmest month in Gawler, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Gawler get?
The coldest month in Gawler is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Gawler get?
Gawler sees roughly 501 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Gawler getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Gawler, 2015-2024 averaged 0.9°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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