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CheckWeather AUFitzroy
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Fitzroy weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Fitzroy today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 14°, with a 44% chance of rain.

17°11°
14°
15°
13°
14°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 11°·Rain 37%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 26%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Cloudy
Today 18°·Low 11°·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Fitzroy and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
16°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
21°
models agree
Sun
Light rain
21° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20° 11°
±6°

Fitzroy, Victoria is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 7°C), with roughly 748 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Fitzroy right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Fitzroy climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
25°
15°
Feb
26°
14°
Mar
24°
13°
Apr
19°
10°
May
16°
Jun
14°
Jul
13°
Aug
16°
Sep
18°
Oct
19°
Nov
22°
13°
Dec
24°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Fitzroy?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.5 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
89
/100rank #2
85±0.8°C96±1.8 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
81
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C96±2.0 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±32%5% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±1°13° to 14°±31%13% to 44% chance
Tue±2°15° to 16°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±1°12° to 13°±32%38% to 70% chance
Thu±1°14° to 15°±15%0% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fitzroy

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
18:02
Daylight
11h 28m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fitzroy today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Fitzroy today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Fitzroy today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Fitzroy and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fitzroy?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fitzroy (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the German at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fitzroy?
February is typically the warmest month in Fitzroy, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Fitzroy get?
The coldest month in Fitzroy is June, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Fitzroy get?
Fitzroy sees roughly 748 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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