Falls Creek swings 23°C across the year, from 20°C highs in January to -3°C lows in July, and August is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1574 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
January
20°C average high
Coldest month
July
-3°C average low
Wettest month
August
1574 mm a year
Below freezing
3 months
June, July and August
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and December
Residents
3,288
share this forecast
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Falls Creek and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…
Falls Creek hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
Loading the three models…
Falls Creek 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Falls Creek, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around -3°C), with roughly 1574 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Falls Creek right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
20°
10°
Feb
19°
9°
Mar
16°
7°
Apr
11°
4°
May
7°
1°
Jun
4°
-1°
Jul
3°
-3°
Aug
4°
-3°
Sep
8°
0°
Oct
12°
2°
Nov
14°
4°
Dec
17°
7°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Falls Creek's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.3°C
Around Falls Creek, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 30°C
4 fewer days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
6 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >30°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.3°C
−8
+27
−0%
1996
−1.4°C
−11
+7
+5%
1997
+0.2°C
+9
+18
−0%
1998
+0.1°C
+9
+4
−0%
1999
+0.2°C
−1
−2
−5%
2000
−0.1°C
+1
−1
−0%
2001
±0.0°C
+2
−11
−0%
2002
−0.1°C
+0
+4
+5%
2003
−0.2°C
+6
+9
−0%
2004
−0.2°C
+4
+2
−0%
2005
+0.1°C
−8
−10
+5%
2006
+0.5°C
+20
+6
−0%
2007
+0.6°C
+3
−9
−0%
2008
−0.2°C
+3
−0
−0%
2009
+0.6°C
+11
−10
+5%
2010
−0.1°C
−2
+6
−5%
2011
−0.5°C
−9
−8
−5%
2012
−0.7°C
−11
−4
−0%
2013
+0.2°C
+8
−10
+5%
2014
+0.6°C
+9
−10
−0%
2015
+0.1°C
−4
+11
−0%
2016
+0.1°C
−1
+1
+5%
2017
+0.2°C
−9
+11
−5%
2018
+0.4°C
+0
+2
+5%
2019
+0.6°C
+20
+1
−0%
2020
−0.3°C
−2
−5
−0%
2021
−1.0°C
−8
−3
−0%
2022
−0.6°C
−11
−4
−5%
2023
+0.1°C
−11
−14
−0%
2024
+0.8°C
−9
−4
−0%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Falls Creek, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Falls Creek?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
84
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C
92±3.9 km/h
7687% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
84
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C
92±4.0 km/h
8290% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
73
/100rank #3
66±1.9°C
96±2.0 km/h
6581% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
Loading ratings…
AmericanNOAA GFS
Loading ratings…
GermanDWD ICON
Loading ratings…
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Common questions
What's the weather in Falls Creek today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Falls Creek today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Falls Creek today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Falls Creek and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Falls Creek?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Falls Creek (CheckWeather Score 84/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Falls Creek?
January is typically the warmest month in Falls Creek, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Falls Creek get?
The coldest month in Falls Creek is July, when overnight lows average about -3°C.
How much rain does Falls Creek get?
Falls Creek sees roughly 1574 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.
Is Falls Creek getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Falls Creek, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.
