Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Erskineville today. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 22°, with a 77% chance of rain.
Erskineville, New South Wales is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 8°C), with roughly 897 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Erskineville right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.