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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Duncraig weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Duncraig today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 35% chance of rain.

16°10°
16°8°
18°11°
23°12°
24°14°
25°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 9°·Rain 96%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Light drizzle
Today 15°·Low 11°·Rain 75%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 10°·Rain 48%
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Duncraig weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Duncraig swings 20°C across the year, from 30°C highs in February to 10°C lows in July, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 752 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
30°C average high
Coldest month
July
10°C average low
Wettest month
June
752 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, July and August
Residents
16,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Duncraig and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Duncraig hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Duncraig 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16° 8°
models agree
Mon
Heavy drizzle
18° 11°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
23° 12°
models agree
Wed
Clear
24° 14°
models agree
Thu
Clear
25° 15°
±4°
Fri
Mostly clear
22° 15°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
20° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 15°
±2°
Tue
Partly cloudy
19° 16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
20° 16°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
20° 15°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
19° 13°
models agree

Duncraig, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 10°C), with roughly 752 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Duncraig right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Duncraig climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
18°
Feb
30°
19°
Mar
28°
18°
Apr
25°
15°
May
22°
13°
Jun
17°
11°
Jul
17°
10°
Aug
17°
10°
Sep
19°
11°
Oct
22°
13°
Nov
25°
15°
Dec
27°
18°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Duncraig has changed since 1995

Duncraig sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Perth. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Perth page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Duncraig?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
85±0.8°C98±1.2 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C91±4.7 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
78
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C92±4.2 km/h5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 17°±48%48% to 96% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 17°±32%3% to 35% chance
Mon±4°17° to 21°±75%17% to 92% chance
Tue±1°23° to 24°±9%0% to 9% chance
Wed±1°24° to 25°±22%6% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Duncraig

today, local time
Sunrise
05:27
Sunset
18:35
Daylight
13h 8m

Common questions

What's the weather in Duncraig today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Duncraig today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 16°, with a 35% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Duncraig today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Duncraig on Sunday 25 October: European 35%, American 3%, German 3%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 96%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Duncraig?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Duncraig (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Duncraig?
February is typically the warmest month in Duncraig, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Duncraig get?
The coldest month in Duncraig is July, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Duncraig get?
Duncraig sees roughly 752 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather